***Official 2020-2021 Dallas Mavericks Season Thread***

200,305 Views | 2549 Replies | Last: 2 yr ago by MW03
Seven Costanza
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Do you have any access to data on 3 point shooting percentage on balls passed from in front of the player vs. passes that come from the side? I know that my shooting percentage was always much higher when catching kick-out passes from the post rather than catching it from another perimeter pass, and it seems like that's generally the case in the NBA, too.
PatAg
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I think Luka is clearly the key to this, but Carlisle's use of him and Lue's lack of ability to counter it is also very important.

I don't see Luka letting up or Lue figuring out a solution.
Iowaggie
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Clippers seem like a team with no leader.

They've lost 5 straight playoff games, all as the higher seed.

PascalsWager
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Infection_Ag11 said:

PascalsWager said:

If the Mavs are shooting 50% from 3 on 30+ attempts/night, they'll win the title 16-0. Even if Lebron and AD were traded to the Nets tomorrow, they'd still win the title.


15 of the 18 made threes were classified as either open (no defender within 4 feet) or wide open (no defender within 6 feet).

Last night was effectively a shoot around. If you give modern NBA caliber players that many open threes, a team can absolutely consistently shoot around 50%. If you look at the top 50 three point shooters in the league by percentage, they average 52.4% on threes classified as wide open. Even average three point shooters tend to be over 45% on such shots.

Unless the Clippers can figure something out on defense they're getting swept.
The Mavs shot 36.9 on open 3s and 37.0 on wide open 3s during the regular season. If the Mavs only shot (an already overperforming) 40% from 3 in the first two games they could easily be down 0-2.

Meanwhile the Clippers are somewhat underperforming in the first two games in both open and wide open shots.

Regression is looming. If it doesn't happen, they win the title by an overwhelming margin. If it does happen this series is not over by a long shot.

NBA Shooting Stats
bigcat22
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Such an awesome picture

awrollins
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Anybody else going to the game Friday?
PatAg
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PascalsWager said:

Infection_Ag11 said:

PascalsWager said:

If the Mavs are shooting 50% from 3 on 30+ attempts/night, they'll win the title 16-0. Even if Lebron and AD were traded to the Nets tomorrow, they'd still win the title.


15 of the 18 made threes were classified as either open (no defender within 4 feet) or wide open (no defender within 6 feet).

Last night was effectively a shoot around. If you give modern NBA caliber players that many open threes, a team can absolutely consistently shoot around 50%. If you look at the top 50 three point shooters in the league by percentage, they average 52.4% on threes classified as wide open. Even average three point shooters tend to be over 45% on such shots.

Unless the Clippers can figure something out on defense they're getting swept.
The Mavs shot 36.9 on open 3s and 37.0 on wide open 3s during the regular season. If the Mavs only shot (an already overperforming) 40% from 3 in the first two games they could easily be down 0-2.

Meanwhile the Clippers are somewhat underperforming in the first two games in both open and wide open shots.

Regression is looming. If it doesn't happen, they win the title by an overwhelming margin. If it does happen this series is not over by a long shot.

NBA Shooting Stats
Do the stats, but starting sometime in February when we got healthy and went 33-16 to end the season.
Also, I would think evaluating specific players 3pt percentages in those scenarios in regular season vs post season would be more effective. As the playoff minutes tend to be different from regular season minutes/rotation.
EconAg18
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mavsfan4ever
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bigcat22 said:

Such an awesome picture




I need this hanging in my office.
EconAg18
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Phat32
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How that Dirk had to have a mask on. Messed up an epic photo.
PooDoo
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Saint Pablo
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Gonna be fun being up 3-0 on these punks tonight!
dave94
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Grabbed tickets for tonight. They're saying capacity will be over 17,000 now, it's gonna be freaking nuts in the building!!!
Saint Pablo
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Ibaka is out tonight.
PatAg
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dave94 said:

Grabbed tickets for tonight. They're saying capacity will be over 17,000 now, it's gonna be freaking nuts in the building!!!
Try to start as many chants/cheers as you can.
no lulls!
PatAg
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"Surely this will be the time switching Zubac onto Luka will work" - Ty Lue probably
gcracker13
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Luka is single handedly going to get Ty Lue fired
hph6203
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Cool.
TDub
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PatAg said:

dave94 said:

Grabbed tickets for tonight. They're saying capacity will be over 17,000 now, it's gonna be freaking nuts in the building!!!
Try to start as many chants/cheers as you can.
no lulls!

A "**** Paul George" one would be great
PooDoo
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Man, I turned it on at 11-28... if they lose the lead l turn it off to see what happens
PooDoo
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Ok, I'll see yall tomorrow
Grapesoda2525
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Gotta admit I'm disappointed.

We seem to be playing well, but we're losing. George and Leonard are all stars, but they're not THIS good. They're shooting 7-7 and 10-12. Gimme a break!
Trucker 96
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Grapesoda2525 said:

Gotta admit I'm disappointed.

We seem to be playing well, but we're losing. George and Leonard are all stars, but they're not THIS good. They're shooting 7-7 and 10-12. Gimme a break!


Clippers shooting like that and only up by 3 is a great sign for Dallas
Trucker 96
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Leonard and George play about as perfectly as possible and it's good for a 2 point lead. Mavs got this
PatAg
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Fore Left! said:

Leonard and George play about as perfectly as possible and it's good for a 2 point lead. Mavs got this
They played all but the last minute too, I think that is going to come into play in the 2nd half.
Saint Pablo
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PatAg said:

Fore Left! said:

Leonard and George play about as perfectly as possible and it's good for a 2 point lead. Mavs got this
They played all but the last minute too, I think that is going to come into play in the 2nd half.
Just like last game. We will be fine.
jeffdjohnson
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Clippers shooting 63% from the field. It's a miracle this game is close frankly. The Mavs season long defensive issues are getting exposed. Let's see if they cool down at all and allow the Mavs to steal it.
awrollins
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KP is being abused
Infection_Ag11
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jeffdjohnson said:

Clippers shooting 63% from the field. It's a miracle this game is close frankly. The Mavs season long defensive issues are getting exposed. Let's see if they cool down at all and allow the Mavs to steal it.


I mean, Dallas is 15-27 from three. It's virtually impossible for a team to run away in the NBA when the opponent hits that many threes at that clip.

The Mavericks have clearly shown they can continue to shoot at this clip though, this is now three straight games. The anomaly is the Clippers, and 60% in a playoff game has been done less than 10 times ever.
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Trucker 96
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Floppin puussss
Trucker 96
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He grabbed his arm and got pushed away. This is bullsh
Ol Jock 99
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Our unicorn is broken.
Saint Pablo
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Physical taunt haaaaaah. Right.
Silvertaps
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What the sh** is physical taunt?
 
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