Agryan00 said:
t.u. with a 3? In what universe do they get a 3. UCLA the 1, Ga Tech the 2 and likely NC with the 3. No way t.u. jumps GA so at best a 5.
Luigi Vampa said:
Is auburn really a lock for top 8 after finishing 6th in conference standings?
Agryan00 said:
Well laid out.
I think post season we just need to watch out for Bama (RPI 6) and Florida State (RPI 7) going on runs. A&Ms (RPI 12) is close enough as long as both don't win there conference title I think we get one. Concern is that selection committee takes one SEC and one ACC as they barter among ADs and conferences. Florida State gets Wake or Louisville in game 1 and then likely NC. We get Auburn then t.u. so we get opportunity. Bama likely gets Florida.
LOYAL AG said:
I posted this on Premium
The devil is always in the details with these computer rankings. I'm looking at the following
Locks
UCLA
GT
UGA
Texas
UNC
Auburn
That leaves two spots to go to some mix of the following:
Alabama
USC
FSU
Florida
Nebraska
A&M
The bubble got crowded in recent weeks and to that end losing the Auburn series hurt. Looking at those teams detail what i see is
Alabama has some warts, namely they were swept twice including by Kentucky who isn't going to regionals this year. Maybe not a deal breaker but I think it's the second worst result of the contenders. They're 12-5 against the top 20 which is really good. 18 SEC wins matters.
USC isn't getting one. 1-10 against Quad 1 is awful. They've played 10 games against RPI top 20 teams and are 1-9. Just not a good resume.
FSU has a massive wart in a road sweep at Stanford who is 103 in RPI. That's bad. They're 3-8 against RPI top 20 teams with all wins coming at Wake Forest. I think this is the second worst resume besides USC.
Florida has no huge warts, their only sweep was to Alabama. Still it's a sweep. They're 10-11 against RPI top 20 teams which is solid. Biggest problem for them is series losses to two contenders in Bama and A&M. 18 SEC wins matters.
Nebraska has a massive wart in a sweep at RPI 79 Ohio State. That's a problem. They're 6-4 against RPI top 20 teams including sweeping USC. If it comes down to geography this is the most likely but that sweep is a problem if it's just about resumes.
A&M - There's something to be said for just being consistent and that's a great description for us this year. Our worst series result is actually at RPI 20 OU. Our worst game is actually the loss to RPI 74 Vanderbilt. Let that sink in. Everyone else got swept at least one with several being swept by teams not going to regionals. Meanwhile not only were we not swept but our worst series was a top 20 loss. That's impressive. We're 10-11 against RPI top 20 teams. 18 SEC wins matters.
Conclusions? We're looking to fill two spots and the real contenders are Bama, Nebraska and A&M. I really think the absence of a sweep puts us above Bama and Nebraska. Our worst result is significantly better than the other two and that matters.
For the last spot I could absolutely see Nebraska getting one despite the weakest overall resume and the bad sweep at OSU. If geography matters this is your pick for one of the last two. Bama has a better overall resume so I don't think either of these is a bad pick.
threeanout said:
They played the toughest schedule of anyone in college baseball. Impressive non conference slate of games that included wins over RPI #7 Fla. St., two wins over #10 Nebraska and a win over #2 Georgia Tech. I think they are a lock.
Jarrin Jay said:
Obvioulsy would like to be 6-8 seed but honestly will be happy with 9-11, just not 12-16.
This team can win a road SR. After last season it's just great to be having this conversation and the BCS Regional is going to be awesome.
BTHO everybody!!!!!
W said:
one thing to keep an eye on...
I believe the 16 host sites will be announced on Sunday before the official pairings on Monday
so we'll see how the committee handles the Kansas vs. West Virginia hosting issue
KU won the Big 12 title, but WVU swept the Jayhawks
if WVU hosts and KU does not...that means head-to-head is important to this committee -- which is good for the Ags
if KU hosts and WVU does not...that means the committee is willing to throw out head-to-head for other metrics
W said:
Nebraska is #18 in the DSR this morning...and #15 in the KPI
not top 8 worthy with those marks
MagnumLoad said:W said:
Nebraska is #18 in the DSR this morning...and #15 in the KPI
not top 8 worthy with those marks
Where are you seeing the latest DSR?
Luigi Vampa said:Agryan00 said:
t.u. with a 3? In what universe do they get a 3. UCLA the 1, Ga Tech the 2 and likely NC with the 3. No way t.u. jumps GA so at best a 5.
You're right, they aren't passing Georgia, UCLA, or GA Tech - I still say an outside shot they could be above UNC. But hey, let's say they will be 5 or 6 because I maintain there is no chance they are lower than that. We will NOT be seeded 11 or 12.
W said:
if WVU hosts and KU does not...that means head-to-head is important to this committee -- which is good for the Ags
if KU hosts and WVU does not...that means the committee is willing to throw out head-to-head for other metrics
With what data input, RPI? Because RPI is hot feces for the most part.MagnumLoad said:
Use computer. Committees suck generally.
Sean98 said:MagnumLoad said:
Use computer. Committees suck generally.
With what data input, RPI? Because RPI is hot feces for the most part.
Crunching a lot of numbers for today's NerdCast.
— Kendall Rogers (@KendallRogers) May 17, 2026
Of teams considered to be Top 8 contenders, weekend series wins vs. Projected 1 seeds.
3 - Georgia, A&M, Auburn, Texas
2 - Alabama
1*- UCLA (SEC wins in Globe Life, too)
1 - GTech, UNC, Florida (plus 3 midweek wins over FSU),…
W said:
the D1 guys say:
5. t.u.
6. Alabama
7. Auburn
8. A&M
with Southern Miss at #9. Florida at #10. FSU #11
they put a lot of weight on head-to-head series wins
