EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE has now won both PGA and DGA and of the last 15 to do that, 11 went on to win Best Picture at the Oscars, too. The ones that didn't: 1917, LA LA LAND, BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN, and GRAVITY (though it tied at PGA with the eventual winner, 12 YEARS A SLAVE).

— Kyle Buchanan (@kylebuchanan) February 26, 2023

Brian Earl Spilner said:

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Seen:

Everything Everywhere all at once
All Quiet on the western front
Triangle of sadness
Banshees of Insherin

All were good, Everything was too long, All Quiet was too short, TOS was too obvious in its message.

So Insherin wins?

Also just read that Charlie Dean from Triangle of sadness died, wow only 32 years old, sad.

Watched "Women Talking" yesterday. If there was an award for Most Accurate Film Title then it would be a landslide victory.

Overall it was interesting and well done, but it won't win anything.

Unfortunately it did have multiple occurrences of one of my film/tv pet peeves, which is when there is a tense/awkward silence and everyone breaks out in laughter. It's something I have NEVER seen happen in real life and it drives me nuts.

Here's one to pass the time. How many Best Picture winners have you seen in the theater the year they won (before they won). My list is incredibly short. You can find a list of winners here:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Academy_Award_for_Best_Picture

Mine is:
1988 Rain Man
1992 Unforgiven
1994 Forrest Gump
1995 Braveheart
1997 Titanic
2000 Gladiator
2003 Return of the King
2006 The Departed
2007 No Country for Old Men
2008 Slumdog Millionaire
2010 The King's Speech
2012 Argo

This year I've got a 3 in 10 shot between Elvis, Maverick, and AQOTWF, although I don't think any of those are going to win.

1.

Return of the King

Titanic
Return of the King
Crash
Departed
No Country for Old Men

I think there are a couple of others I might have, but these are the ones I explicitly remember. These days, I rarely go in general, and historically, I haven't gone for the oscar types because those never seem to have the extra benefit a theater brings, say, a Marvel or Star Wars movie

Predictions before this weekend? I'll try to keep this to films I've seen.

Best Picture: Everything Everywhere All at Once, I just have a feeling about this one. I enjoyed it, it's really unique, I don't see any of the other nominees in direct contention to take votes from it if there's a voter that likes this movie I just think it's able to separate from the others. It has momentum going for it as well and it came out quite a while ago.

Best Actor: Colin Farrell, I really don't know what they'll do here, I could see voters swayed by Butler or Fraser but I just thought this was Farrell's best work. Even if there's a good bit of comedy in TBoI, it's a really dark and dramatic film that hinged on him.

Best Actress: Michelle Yeoh, similar to best picture, I just feel it's hers. Tar just wasn't for me, though I wouldn't be surprised if Blanchett takes it.

Supporting Actor: Quan, Gleeson and Keoghan probably cancel each other out. Henry was in a movie that basically no one saw. Hirsch had what was effectively a cameo in The Fabelmans.

Supporting Actress: Condon, she was so good in TBoI, but I truly have no idea. Bassett was great in WF but the film itself was bad IMO, the films shortcomings impact her potential. I didn't see The Whale so I can't comment on Chau, but she was awesome in The Menu. I could see JLC getting it but I don't know if she will have enough, could also lost votes to Hsu as they're both in the the same movie.

Director: The Daniels, I just think that it's theirs to lose.

My prediction is they split Director and Best Picture, with Everything winning best picture and McDonagh taking director.

I think Actor, Actress, and Supporting Actor are all but locks for Fraser, Yeoh, and Quan, just because all three are such great stories and have so much momentum behind them.

Supporting Actress is one I have the hardest time pinning down. I think JLC and Hsu will split their vote, but I could easily see any of the other three winning it. Gun to my head, I probably say Condon.

Picture: EEAAO
Director: Daniels
Actor: Brendan Fraser
Actress: Michelle Yeoh
Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan
Supporting Actress: Angela Bassett

It feels like EEAAO has all the momentum right now, maybe just enough to get Yeoh the win over Blanchett.

To me both Fraser and Quan seem like locks right now. I know there was a lot of talk of Colin Farrell early in the season, but that never really materialized, and as good as Austin Butler was, they rarely give it to the younger guys this early in their careers. If Leo and Chalamet didn't get it, I don't think Butler can take it with such stuff competition.

Fwiw I didn't really like EEAAO all that much but I don't think any other movie has much of a shot right now, except for maybe Top Gun, weirdly enough. Just an effect of being so universally liked and the preferential ballot.

Top Gun winning would make too much sense, so it won't happen. Would be nice though.

Jim01 said:

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Watched "Women Talking" yesterday. If there was an award for Most Accurate Film Title then it would be a landslide victory.

Overall it was interesting and well done, but it won't win anything.

Unfortunately it did have multiple occurrences of one of my film/tv pet peeves, which is when there is a tense/awkward silence and everyone breaks out in laughter. It's something I have NEVER seen happen in real life and it drives me nuts.

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If someone offered me $100 to sit in the theater and watch the entire movie (couldn't look at my phone), I'm pretty sure I'd pass. Just not my type of film in the slightest.

Brian Earl Spilner said:

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Picture: EEAAO
Director: Daniels
Actor: Brendan Fraser
Actress: Michelle Yeoh
Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan
Supporting Actress: Angela Bassett

It feels like EEAAO has all the momentum right now, maybe just enough to get Yeoh the win over Blanchett.

To me both Fraser and Quan seem like locks right now. I know there was a lot of talk of Colin Farrell early in the season, but that never really materialized, and as good as Austin Butler was, they rarely give it to the younger guys this early in their careers. If Leo and Chalamet didn't get it, I don't think Butler can take it with such stuff competition.

Fwiw I didn't really like EEAAO all that much but I don't think any other movie has much of a shot right now, except for maybe Top Gun, weirdly enough. Just an effect of being so universally liked and the preferential ballot.

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I'm going with this exact same lineup, except I think Butler "upsets" Fraser.

TCTTS said:

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EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE has now won both PGA and DGA and of the last 15 to do that, 11 went on to win Best Picture at the Oscars, too. The ones that didn't: 1917, LA LA LAND, BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN, and GRAVITY (though it tied at PGA with the eventual winner, 12 YEARS A SLAVE).

— Kyle Buchanan (@kylebuchanan) February 26, 2023

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Voted for them for DGA Awards.

I think these are pretty close to locks:

Best Picture & Best Director: EEAAO
Best Actress: Yeoh
Best Supporting: Quan

Best Actor is a toss up. I think the Academy loves bio-pics and Elvis was a better movie so I'm going to go with Butler.

Supporting Actress: I'd vote Condon. Bassett was good but didn't transcend the movie.

I just watched The Fabelmans, which wrapped up my Best Picture nominee viewing. I would vote for EEAAO. It was the most unique and just the flat out best of the bunch.

Bump for Oscars night.

Fingers crossed for some fireworks after the slap.

Unless Tom Cruise lands an F18 on Hollywood Blvd, I'll be disappointed.

Last minute surprise addition. She had previously said she was busy filming the Joker sequel, but I guess they worked it out. So now Rihanna *and* Lady Gaga will be performing tonight, which is pretty huge…

Surprise! Lady Gaga Is Performing ‘Hold My Hand’ at the Oscars After All (EXCLUSIVE) https://t.co/2FkS6fQcQm

— Variety (@Variety) March 12, 2023

If this is true, what a massive wuss. Just an epic-level act of fear in the face of….maybe a joke or two about his religion? https://t.co/JqfJc1oBcQ

— Matthew Belloni (@MattBelloni) March 12, 2023

Is that just a clickbait headline? The article makes no mention of Scientology, just that Cruise won't be there cuz he's filming Mission Impossible. .

It's a tweet, not a headline. Belloni is expressing his opinion while sharing a link, but everyone knows that's exactly why Cruise isn't going. He only shows up for/participates in very controlled interviews/press events, and he's not going to subject himself to any situation he can't control, where someone might direct a joke or negative comment his way. I love Tom Cruise the action star, but Tom Cruise the person is psychotically controlling and can't take even slightest joke or dig at his expense. He's shown up for a number of other Oscar events this awards season, but suddenly can't be bothered with the main event, the one that just so happens to be televised.

I mean it could just be that he's filming?

But also, the writing's on the wall that EEAAO is taking home the win, so it makes sense to not waste 4 hours of his time to see other movies win all the awards.

Again, he's managed to appear at a number of other Oscar events the past few weeks, and thus miss those filming days, so it's suspect that he's suddenly not able to appear at the show itself. Especially when ABC, the telecast, Bruckheimer, etc were all expecting him to attend, when he unexpectedly cancelled last minute.

Is Tom Cruise still doing the movie where ehe's going into space for real?

I can't imagine they'll make fun of the slap, because of the humiliation it cost the Academy and you're downplaying something really ergregious that happened on live TV. Or maybe Jimmy Kimmel's first 50 jokes will be about it, What do I know.

And now this proves that Cruise isn't filming, seeing as the director just landed in LA for the ceremony. Maybe Cruise is with McQaurrie, and will end up attending as well, but if not, what a weenie...

Landing at LAX with two hours to showtime. Hope to see you at the ball.

— Christopher McQuarrie (@chrismcquarrie) March 12, 2023

Eh, it's one thing to campaign, and another to attend when you know you're not winning.

Just tuned in and caught that Hugh Grant interview. One of the most awkward things I've ever seen.

Yokel's Oscar picks:

I have seen 7 of the 10 Best Picture nominees, The Whale, all of the short films and a smattering of the others. With this vast expertise, I select the projected winners and my personal picks (if any). I didn't pick the technical categories or documentary feature since I didn't see any of them.

Best Picture
Will win: Everything Everywhere All at Once
Should win: Triangle of Sadness

Best Director
Will and should win: Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert, Everything Everywhere

Best Actor
Will and should win: Brendan Fraser, The Whale

Best Actress
Will win: Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere
Should win: Cate Blanchett, Tar

Best Supporting Actor
Will and should win: Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere

Best Supporting Actress
Will win: Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Should win: Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin

Best Original Screenplay:
Will and should win: Everything Everywhere All at Once

*Best Adapted Screenplay:
Will win: Women Talking

Best Animated Feature:
Will and should win: Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio

*Best International Feature
Will win: All Quiet on the Western Front

Best Documentary Short
Will win: Stranger at the Gate
Should win: The Elephant Whisperers

Best Live Action Short
Will win: Le pupille
Should win: The Red Suitcase

Best Animated Short:
Will and should win: The Boy, The Mole, The Fox and The Horse

*No pick for "should win" if I did not see at least 3/5 nominees

Hugh Grant 🤣 #Oscars pic.twitter.com/WOGQAdDqoj

— bruce (@BruceJVail) March 12, 2023

I'm pulling for Austin Butler and Angela Bassett to win their categories, everything else I probably didn't see or don't care much about.

The Porkchop Express said:

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I'm pulling for Austin Butler and Angela Bassett to win their categories, everything else I probably didn't see or don't care much about.

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Anyone rooting against Brendan Fraser or Ke Huy Quan is a Communist.