Iran has not yet capitulated, what is the exit strategy?

21,747 Views | 347 Replies | Last: 4 min ago by flown-the-coop
5Amp
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RangerRick9211 said:

5Amp said:

RangerRick9211 said:

5Amp said:

Muddyfeet said:

5Amp said:

Last week was a record week in oil sales in the USA as we continue to load very large vessels of Texas crude out and ship overseas to Asia and Europe.

Hope this stays close for another few months if not 2026 thru 2028.

This is really great for the red producing states like TEXAS

Grok
Approximately 6.44 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil for the most recently reported week (ending April 24, 2026).
This is according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) weekly data released on April 29, 2026. It was a record high, up sharply from 4.798 million bpd the prior week (an increase of about 1.64 million bpd).
Key Context:
Crude oil exports (not including petroleum products): 6.438 million bpd.
Total petroleum exports (crude + products like gasoline, distillates, etc.): Hit a record 14.18 million bpd that same week.
This surge contributed to the U.S. becoming a net crude exporter on a weekly basis for the first time on record, amid global supply disruptions (e.g., related to events in the Middle East).




How is this better for Texas? Sounds great, but as an average Texan, how does this help me? Is someone paying the state a tariff? Is the State taxing it? Loading fees to the Port of Houston possibly?

Tax revenue from employment, fees for water ways, rail, and highways, taxes on refined fuels. literally filling the coffer with billions of dollars. Also, these companies are establishing lasting business relationships that will continue on long after the SOH is opened. I dare to say Alaska, Texas, and Louisiana will keep 30% or better of the customers they currently are dealing with once they prove the USA can be a viable, competitive source for crude oils, refined products, and LPGs.

Bessent and Trump know this, revenues generated from former Iranian oil customers will pay for the shells used to blow up Iranian assets.

Those tankers are making their way to America ports, specifically the states I named. Great news for producing red states.


Our crude isn't ME crude, though. Refiners need specific stock and India/Asia aren't built for ours. I dare to lol to your 30%.

Exports have jumped for all distillates from the US. But that has also squeezed the US consumer on gas, diesel and LPG. There's still a global shortage. We do have an export ceiling.

So, happy the feds and state are lining their coffers. Sucks for us normal people trying to fire up the grill or drive anywhere.

not only feds, state, and local governments, It's also very profitable for the smart, professional businessman and engineering types, not so much for some in other fields I suppose.

anywho, you should probably research before rattling off garbage AS YOU LAUGH at my conservative 30% estimate.

Grok
Yes, Alaska grade crude (primarily Alaska North Slope or ANS crude) is generally compatible with many Asian and especially Indian refineries, though it may require some operational adjustments in less complex facilities.

Key Properties of Alaska North Slope (ANS) Crude
ANS is a medium sour crude:
API gravity: Typically 2932 (medium density; flows reasonably well but not as light as WTI ~3941).
Sulfur content: Around 0.91.1% (sour, but not extremely high like some heavy Middle Eastern grades at 23%+).
This profile yields a balanced mix of products (good for diesel, jet fuel, and gasoline) but needs desulfurization units.
Compatibility with Asian/Indian Refineries
Asian refiners (e.g., Japan, South Korea): They have recently purchased ANS cargoes, especially amid Middle East supply disruptions. Shorter shipping times from Alaska (~815 days faster than Middle East routes) are a big plus. However, some Japanese refiners note technical challenges like higher metallic impurities, which may need extra processing equipment for large volumes.
Indian refineries: Highly capable due to high complexity. India's largest complex (Reliance Jamnagar) has the world's highest Nelson Complexity Index (~21.1) and has processed over 216 different crude grades, including heavy/sour varieties from Venezuela, Iran, and Russia. It handles wide variations in API gravity and sulfur content efficiently, turning lower-quality crudes into high-value fuels.
Most modern Indian refineries (e.g., those of IOCL, BPCL, HPCL, and Reliance) are configured for medium-to-heavy sour crudes common from the Middle East and Russia. ANS fits well within this rangeit's not overly heavy or ultra-sour, so blending or minor adjustments suffice. India already imports significant U.S. crude (including various grades), and its refiners have flexibility for spot purchases.
Practical Considerations
Logistics: Shorter Pacific routes benefit Asia vs. longer Middle East voyages. Exports from Valdez, Alaska, have gone to Asia historically and recently.
Economics: ANS can be attractive during disruptions (e.g., Hormuz issues), though it competes on price with Russian or U.S. Gulf crudes.
Limitations: Older or simpler refineries might need blending with lighter/sweeter crudes for optimal yields, but this is standard industry practice.
In summary, yesit's capable and has been used successfully, particularly in complex Indian facilities and select Asian ones. Compatibility depends on the specific refinery's configuration, but India's refining sector is among the most adaptable globally. For current market details, check trade data from EIA or shipping trackers.


What is this AI slop?

Think for yourself, bud. Alaska doesn't export much crude. 90% of it goes to CA/WA for domestic refining. Almost all of US exports are from PADD 3. Grok doing you dirty. Why no mention of TX/LA?

Quote:

For current market details, check trade data from EIA or shipping trackers.

Thanks for the suggestion, Grok. I already do/did in my original response. Maybe tell your master to "research before rattling off garbage."

Export of crude by PADD: https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_move_exp_dc_R30-Z00_mbbl_m.htm

Insane to simp for corp/govt. revenues over normal Americans, including yourself. If you drive, fly or buy you're taking it up the wallet right now. Have a great summer.

LMAO- you remind me of my wife who hates AI yet for years has been living with Google.

the PADD link YOU posted is good up to Feb 2026, before the Iranian war, old information.

Alaska is closer to Asia/Japan and AK production will continue to climb as this administration relieves government regulations allowing more drilling within proven reserves that have been restricted.

Also, I counted over a dozen tankers yesterday in or near the Houston ship channel, way more than normal and I believe a lot of that new business will remain long after the SOH is open. I am big on Red state oil production and refinery, especially from Texas/LA.

as far as paying more at the pump, I do remember my liberal sister telling me she didn't mind paying a little extra in gasoline cost during Biden's administration support of Ukraine, you remember, when gasoline was higher than what it is today…and as far as enjoying the summer, we are planning a cross country trip in the Winnebago, driving to Washington DC for the birthday bash…..








flown-the-coop
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We only have to take out a few of the 10 million or so who "claim" to support the regime. That seems doable without boots on the ground.

But I think the number of dead will not need to include all 10 million, but I am okay with it if it does.
flown-the-coop
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Rockdoc said:

Iced-T14 said:

Yes, it is an international strait. That does not mean it is "international waters." Those are different legal concepts, and mixing them together is the problem.
If we are claiming the U.S. must control Hormuz, that is a completely different war aim than securing passage through Hormuz.

I don't believe I said it was international water. I just said Iran couldn't control it.

We need to tweet Martha McCollum because she used "international waters" just about an hour ago. How dare her!

Does she not know under Irans 1993 interpretation of an outdated 1958 treaty says they have control of the strait to do with as they please?!

Playing the semantics game over "right of passage", "international waters", UNCLOS etc ignores a thousand years of maritime norms.

As you know but it seems others do not, the position that Iran has taken that the Strait of Hormuz is under their sovereign control and that other countries must respect it is not held by ANY OTHER COUNTRY except Iran.

And after their latest shenanigans, even countries that were sympathetic to Irans position are no longer so.

At the end of the day, the Strait of Hormuz will not be under control of Iran for the foreseeable future (unless folks wet their pants because gas prices cut into the OnlyFans and TexAgs subscriptions so they voted Bootygig into office who undoubtedly would push for Iran to have money to buy nukes so they can control the SoH and rid the world of Zionists.

Thank God Trump is fixing this now.
DeschutesAg
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After we attacked and went to war against Iran 60-plus days ago, Iran's use of mines, missiles, drones, etc closed the strait which:

-- put an economic squeeze on Iran itself and on several nearby ME nations who are important oil and LNG producers.

-- put an upstream and downstream economic squeeze on the EU, UK, India, China, and many other nations.

-- put a downstream economic squeeze on us, the USA which is being felt by most Americans.
This will increase the longer a strait closure goes on.

It will economically benefit all sides if the strait reopens and stays open, and it will economically hurt all sides if it remains closed.

So far, the rest of the world has been sitting on the sidelines waiting to see if the USA or Iran will back down in this battle of "how much economic pain can you stand?".

Trump has put himself and the GOP in a dicey political position. The rising cost in the USA of gasoline, diesel, electricity, fertilizer, and LNG affects every U.S. voter who isn't sufficiently wealthy for it not to matter. Midterm elections are just six months away. A lot of American voters and American business owners are worried.

Conclusion: We didn't achieve all our objectives, but it might be time to make a deal.
2026NCAggies
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eric76 said:

Gigem314 said:

eric76 said:

Gigem314 said:

Quote:

Trump doesn't have the guts to stick it out. He's like the bully on the playground who starts something on the spur of the moment and then cries how unfair it is when his desires don't come to fruition.

Yes, clearly Iran is the victim of the big mean bully Trump. Iran has never bullied anyone on the playground and cried how unfair it is when someone hits back. Such educated analysis of what's going on in the world.

There isn't just one bully.

Yes, there is this case. Iran has bullied Israel and U.S. troops for decades in the ME. They have funded and given aid to terrorist organizations that have murdered innocent civilians and harmed/killed U.S. troops.

The idea that Donald Trump started this fight with Iran shows your complete ignorance of history and what's gone on that region for decades. It's a fight that's been going on via proxy for many years. But because he chose to bomb them, he's the bully on the playground who can't finish anything. Do you even understand how ignorant that sounds?

Nonsense.

Yeah, we have had issues with Iran over time. But anyone who thinks that we can force regime change by dropping a few bombs on them is an idiot.

If we want regime change, it will take troops on the ground. A lot of troops on the ground.

I think it can be achieved with bombing their remaining military targets, infrastructure and arming the civilians
HTownAg98
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2026NCAggies said:

eric76 said:

Gigem314 said:

eric76 said:

Gigem314 said:

Quote:

Trump doesn't have the guts to stick it out. He's like the bully on the playground who starts something on the spur of the moment and then cries how unfair it is when his desires don't come to fruition.

Yes, clearly Iran is the victim of the big mean bully Trump. Iran has never bullied anyone on the playground and cried how unfair it is when someone hits back. Such educated analysis of what's going on in the world.

There isn't just one bully.

Yes, there is this case. Iran has bullied Israel and U.S. troops for decades in the ME. They have funded and given aid to terrorist organizations that have murdered innocent civilians and harmed/killed U.S. troops.

The idea that Donald Trump started this fight with Iran shows your complete ignorance of history and what's gone on that region for decades. It's a fight that's been going on via proxy for many years. But because he chose to bomb them, he's the bully on the playground who can't finish anything. Do you even understand how ignorant that sounds?

Nonsense.

Yeah, we have had issues with Iran over time. But anyone who thinks that we can force regime change by dropping a few bombs on them is an idiot.

If we want regime change, it will take troops on the ground. A lot of troops on the ground.

I think it can be achieved with bombing their remaining military targets, infrastructure and arming the civilians

Worked out great the last time we tried that.
2026NCAggies
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HTownAg98 said:

2026NCAggies said:

eric76 said:

Gigem314 said:

eric76 said:

Gigem314 said:

Quote:

Trump doesn't have the guts to stick it out. He's like the bully on the playground who starts something on the spur of the moment and then cries how unfair it is when his desires don't come to fruition.

Yes, clearly Iran is the victim of the big mean bully Trump. Iran has never bullied anyone on the playground and cried how unfair it is when someone hits back. Such educated analysis of what's going on in the world.

There isn't just one bully.

Yes, there is this case. Iran has bullied Israel and U.S. troops for decades in the ME. They have funded and given aid to terrorist organizations that have murdered innocent civilians and harmed/killed U.S. troops.

The idea that Donald Trump started this fight with Iran shows your complete ignorance of history and what's gone on that region for decades. It's a fight that's been going on via proxy for many years. But because he chose to bomb them, he's the bully on the playground who can't finish anything. Do you even understand how ignorant that sounds?

Nonsense.

Yeah, we have had issues with Iran over time. But anyone who thinks that we can force regime change by dropping a few bombs on them is an idiot.

If we want regime change, it will take troops on the ground. A lot of troops on the ground.

I think it can be achieved with bombing their remaining military targets, infrastructure and arming the civilians

Worked out great the last time we tried that.

Yeah Afghanistan beat the Russians.......
SteveA
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Quote:

We only have to take out a few of the 10 million or so who "claim" to support the regime. That seems doable without boots on the ground.

But I think the number of dead will not need to include all 10 million, but I am okay with it if it does.

How many US troops' deaths will be okay with you if it does?
SteveA
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AG
Quote:

Quote:

Worked out great the last time we tried that.


Yeah Afghanistan beat the Russians.......

That's a bit short sighted. But, that tracks with pretty much everything we have seen in this conflict so far.
HTownAg98
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Trump in December said we tried to do it in Iran, but the guns were intercepted by the Kurds.
flown-the-coop
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SteveA said:

Quote:

We only have to take out a few of the 10 million or so who "claim" to support the regime. That seems doable without boots on the ground.

But I think the number of dead will not need to include all 10 million, but I am okay with it if it does.

How many US troops' deaths will be okay with you if it does?

What sort of question is that? As an American who values our soldiers, I am not okay with even 1 death. Sort of offensive to be asked.

If I was POTUS and responsible for the US Armed Forces, that calculation is much, much different as I have to weigh the risks we may lose soldiers with the potential casualties and other consequences we may face from inaction. I am confident Trump has a good grasp of this most heavy of decisions.

Not sure you do though to be asking the question so flippantly.
2026NCAggies
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SteveA said:

Quote:

We only have to take out a few of the 10 million or so who "claim" to support the regime. That seems doable without boots on the ground.

But I think the number of dead will not need to include all 10 million, but I am okay with it if it does.

How many US troops' deaths will be okay with you if it does?

If it does what?

If we arm the civilians than we do not have to put boots on the ground

We keep the blockade and bomb their infrastructure than IRGC soldiers will not get paid so a lot of them will disband

Artesh army will likely not fight their own people either, a lot of them may join the revolt
flown-the-coop
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I thought we gave them to the Kurds to either use or maybe to get them to the "protestors", but whatever the case they did not do what was intended for the weapons.
flown-the-coop
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2026NCAggies said:

SteveA said:

Quote:

We only have to take out a few of the 10 million or so who "claim" to support the regime. That seems doable without boots on the ground.

But I think the number of dead will not need to include all 10 million, but I am okay with it if it does.

How many US troops' deaths will be okay with you if it does?

If it does what?

If we arm the civilians than we do not have to put boots on the ground

We keep the blockade and bomb their infrastructure than IRGC soldiers will not get paid so a lot of them will disband

Artesh army will likely not fight their own people either, a lot of them may join the revolt


Even the IRGC has folks reluctant to shoot their own people, which is why they have been relying on paki, Iraqi, etcaki mercenaries.
Kansas Kid
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2026NCAggies said:

SteveA said:

Quote:

We only have to take out a few of the 10 million or so who "claim" to support the regime. That seems doable without boots on the ground.

But I think the number of dead will not need to include all 10 million, but I am okay with it if it does.

How many US troops' deaths will be okay with you if it does?

If it does what?

If we arm the civilians than we do not have to put boots on the ground

We keep the blockade and bomb their infrastructure than IRGC soldiers will not get paid so a lot of them will disband

Artesh army will likely not fight their own people either, a lot of them may join the revolt

How did it work out arming the Afghans to fight the USSR? A lot of those weapons ended up in the Taliban and Osama Bin Laden's hands.
SteveA
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Quote:

Quote:

Worked out great the last time we tried that.


Yeah Afghanistan beat the Russians.......

If we "arm the civilians", we just repeat what was attempted in other places and failed. And what does that even mean? Who do we give them to? Does that include spending time and money training these people? A
flown-the-coop
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SteveA said:

Quote:

Quote:

Worked out great the last time we tried that.


Yeah Afghanistan beat the Russians.......

If we "arm the civilians", we just repeat what was attempted in other places and failed. And what does that even mean? Who do we give them to? Does that include spending time and money training these people? A

80 plus million people are against at most 8 million. Of the 8 million, the vast majority are also unarmed.

Iran is highly unique, and I mean they may literally be the only country in the world of size where 805-90% do NOT support the regime they are governed by. In fact, it's fairly unique in modern history to have such a bifurcation between the government and those being governed.

You have to understand that before you begin to opine on what "civil war" or more appropriately a coup means in Iran.

Makes any comparison to Iraq and Afghanistan completely ******ed.
Gigem314
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eric76 said:

Gigem314 said:

eric76 said:

Gigem314 said:

Quote:

Trump doesn't have the guts to stick it out. He's like the bully on the playground who starts something on the spur of the moment and then cries how unfair it is when his desires don't come to fruition.

Yes, clearly Iran is the victim of the big mean bully Trump. Iran has never bullied anyone on the playground and cried how unfair it is when someone hits back. Such educated analysis of what's going on in the world.

There isn't just one bully.

Yes, there is this case. Iran has bullied Israel and U.S. troops for decades in the ME. They have funded and given aid to terrorist organizations that have murdered innocent civilians and harmed/killed U.S. troops.

The idea that Donald Trump started this fight with Iran shows your complete ignorance of history and what's gone on that region for decades. It's a fight that's been going on via proxy for many years. But because he chose to bomb them, he's the bully on the playground who can't finish anything. Do you even understand how ignorant that sounds?

Nonsense.

Yeah, we have had issues with Iran over time. But anyone who thinks that we can force regime change by dropping a few bombs on them is an idiot.

If we want regime change, it will take troops on the ground. A lot of troops on the ground.

No, the issue isn't nonsense. It's a very serious one. And you appear to know very little about it, nor care to. Your primary focus here is opposing Trump, which is shortsighted. You also show your ignorance by assuming regime change was the goal of our actions.
Eliminatus
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AG
Project Freedom suspended already. With no obvious changes dictating such a change from what I can tell.

Did we win or something?!
DannyDuberstein
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The late Sumpreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei may have a different opinion than eric76 about there being no regime change at all.
Gigem314
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DannyDuberstein said:

The late Sumpreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei may have a different opinion than eric76 about there being no regime change at all.
They both would probably agree that Trump is a bully though.
AlexNguyen
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eric76 said:

Gigem314 said:

eric76 said:

Gigem314 said:

Quote:

Trump doesn't have the guts to stick it out. He's like the bully on the playground who starts something on the spur of the moment and then cries how unfair it is when his desires don't come to fruition.

Yes, clearly Iran is the victim of the big mean bully Trump. Iran has never bullied anyone on the playground and cried how unfair it is when someone hits back. Such educated analysis of what's going on in the world.

There isn't just one bully.

Yes, there is this case. Iran has bullied Israel and U.S. troops for decades in the ME. They have funded and given aid to terrorist organizations that have murdered innocent civilians and harmed/killed U.S. troops.

The idea that Donald Trump started this fight with Iran shows your complete ignorance of history and what's gone on that region for decades. It's a fight that's been going on via proxy for many years. But because he chose to bomb them, he's the bully on the playground who can't finish anything. Do you even understand how ignorant that sounds?

Nonsense.

Yeah, we have had issues with Iran over time. But anyone who thinks that we can force regime change by dropping a few bombs on them is an idiot.

If we want regime change, it will take troops on the ground. A lot of troops on the ground.

It is nonsense that Iran has funded insurgents and terrorists who target US troops? Iran definitely has American blood on their hands.
2026NCAggies
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Kansas Kid said:

2026NCAggies said:

SteveA said:

Quote:

We only have to take out a few of the 10 million or so who "claim" to support the regime. That seems doable without boots on the ground.

But I think the number of dead will not need to include all 10 million, but I am okay with it if it does.

How many US troops' deaths will be okay with you if it does?

If it does what?

If we arm the civilians than we do not have to put boots on the ground

We keep the blockade and bomb their infrastructure than IRGC soldiers will not get paid so a lot of them will disband

Artesh army will likely not fight their own people either, a lot of them may join the revolt

How did it work out arming the Afghans to fight the USSR? A lot of those weapons ended up in the Taliban and Osama Bin Laden's hands.

Um it helped defeat the Russians.....

Our weapons end up all over the place, Biden left BILLIONS $ to Afghanistan when he pulled out, are they actively using them against us? We going to go to war with them again?

If the people succeed you think we are going to go to war with them eventually? For what? They just got done defeating a horrid regime, you think they are going to elect another, just to end up in the same spot.

Iran is wanting to be more like the west, not the other way around
samurai_science
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2026NCAggies said:

Kansas Kid said:

2026NCAggies said:

SteveA said:

Quote:

We only have to take out a few of the 10 million or so who "claim" to support the regime. That seems doable without boots on the ground.

But I think the number of dead will not need to include all 10 million, but I am okay with it if it does.

How many US troops' deaths will be okay with you if it does?

If it does what?

If we arm the civilians than we do not have to put boots on the ground

We keep the blockade and bomb their infrastructure than IRGC soldiers will not get paid so a lot of them will disband

Artesh army will likely not fight their own people either, a lot of them may join the revolt

How did it work out arming the Afghans to fight the USSR? A lot of those weapons ended up in the Taliban and Osama Bin Laden's hands.

Um it helped defeat the Russians.....

Our weapons end up all over the place, Biden left BILLIONS $ to Afghanistan when he pulled out, are they actively using them against us? We going to go to war with them again?

If the people succeed you think we are going to go to war with them eventually? For what? They just got done defeating a horrid regime, you think they are going to elect another, just to end up in the same spot.

Iran is wanting to be more like the west, not the other way around

Yes but what happened after the Russians left? You ignore a lot of history.
aggiehawg
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AG
Quote:

How did it work out arming the Afghans to fight the USSR? A lot of those weapons ended up in the Taliban and Osama Bin Laden's hands.

That is a bit of a leap in time from the 80s to 2001 and beyond. I know in the movie, Charlie Wilson is made to appear he cares about the Afghans (especially children) being harmed by the Russians but the heart there was bleeding the Russian military dry. Forget the nuclear arms race, degrade their conventional forces by proxy.

And that worked like a charm as the Soviet Union dissolved just a few years later (what two or three years?)

So that paid a dividend. No one could control the tribal based civil war in Afghanistan in the aftermath. The Northern Alliance was truly making headway with our CIA backing and were even giving us intel to take out Bin Laden. Bill Clinton would not approve the strike on Bin Laden. And that enlarged the target on Massoud's back

Bin Laden had him assassinated the day before 9/11. Why? Because Bin Laden calculated that the US would arm Massoud's Northern Alliance to the teeth to take him out in retaliation before the US invaded. And Bin Laden was correct CIA would have been shipping arms to them along with other countries to ensure the Northern Alliance eventually won that civi war against the Taliban.

Ag with kids
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AG
SteveA said:

Quote:

Quote:

Worked out great the last time we tried that.


Yeah Afghanistan beat the Russians.......

That's a bit short sighted. But, that tracks with pretty much everything we have seen in this conflict so far.

The Iranians have destroyed large parts of our military and killed thousands of our soldiers?


You can turn off signatures, btw
Gigem314
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AlexNguyen said:

eric76 said:

Gigem314 said:

eric76 said:

Gigem314 said:

Quote:

Trump doesn't have the guts to stick it out. He's like the bully on the playground who starts something on the spur of the moment and then cries how unfair it is when his desires don't come to fruition.

Yes, clearly Iran is the victim of the big mean bully Trump. Iran has never bullied anyone on the playground and cried how unfair it is when someone hits back. Such educated analysis of what's going on in the world.

There isn't just one bully.

Yes, there is this case. Iran has bullied Israel and U.S. troops for decades in the ME. They have funded and given aid to terrorist organizations that have murdered innocent civilians and harmed/killed U.S. troops.

The idea that Donald Trump started this fight with Iran shows your complete ignorance of history and what's gone on that region for decades. It's a fight that's been going on via proxy for many years. But because he chose to bomb them, he's the bully on the playground who can't finish anything. Do you even understand how ignorant that sounds?

Nonsense.

Yeah, we have had issues with Iran over time. But anyone who thinks that we can force regime change by dropping a few bombs on them is an idiot.

If we want regime change, it will take troops on the ground. A lot of troops on the ground.

It is nonsense that Iran has funded insurgents and terrorists who target US troops? Iran definitely has American blood on their hands.
But Trump says mean things…
RangerRick9211
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5Amp said:

RangerRick9211 said:

5Amp said:

RangerRick9211 said:

5Amp said:

Muddyfeet said:

5Amp said:

Last week was a record week in oil sales in the USA as we continue to load very large vessels of Texas crude out and ship overseas to Asia and Europe.

Hope this stays close for another few months if not 2026 thru 2028.

This is really great for the red producing states like TEXAS

Grok
Approximately 6.44 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil for the most recently reported week (ending April 24, 2026).
This is according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) weekly data released on April 29, 2026. It was a record high, up sharply from 4.798 million bpd the prior week (an increase of about 1.64 million bpd).
Key Context:
Crude oil exports (not including petroleum products): 6.438 million bpd.
Total petroleum exports (crude + products like gasoline, distillates, etc.): Hit a record 14.18 million bpd that same week.
This surge contributed to the U.S. becoming a net crude exporter on a weekly basis for the first time on record, amid global supply disruptions (e.g., related to events in the Middle East).




How is this better for Texas? Sounds great, but as an average Texan, how does this help me? Is someone paying the state a tariff? Is the State taxing it? Loading fees to the Port of Houston possibly?

Tax revenue from employment, fees for water ways, rail, and highways, taxes on refined fuels. literally filling the coffer with billions of dollars. Also, these companies are establishing lasting business relationships that will continue on long after the SOH is opened. I dare to say Alaska, Texas, and Louisiana will keep 30% or better of the customers they currently are dealing with once they prove the USA can be a viable, competitive source for crude oils, refined products, and LPGs.

Bessent and Trump know this, revenues generated from former Iranian oil customers will pay for the shells used to blow up Iranian assets.

Those tankers are making their way to America ports, specifically the states I named. Great news for producing red states.


Our crude isn't ME crude, though. Refiners need specific stock and India/Asia aren't built for ours. I dare to lol to your 30%.

Exports have jumped for all distillates from the US. But that has also squeezed the US consumer on gas, diesel and LPG. There's still a global shortage. We do have an export ceiling.

So, happy the feds and state are lining their coffers. Sucks for us normal people trying to fire up the grill or drive anywhere.

not only feds, state, and local governments, It's also very profitable for the smart, professional businessman and engineering types, not so much for some in other fields I suppose.

anywho, you should probably research before rattling off garbage AS YOU LAUGH at my conservative 30% estimate.

Grok
Yes, Alaska grade crude (primarily Alaska North Slope or ANS crude) is generally compatible with many Asian and especially Indian refineries, though it may require some operational adjustments in less complex facilities.

Key Properties of Alaska North Slope (ANS) Crude
ANS is a medium sour crude:
API gravity: Typically 2932 (medium density; flows reasonably well but not as light as WTI ~3941).
Sulfur content: Around 0.91.1% (sour, but not extremely high like some heavy Middle Eastern grades at 23%+).
This profile yields a balanced mix of products (good for diesel, jet fuel, and gasoline) but needs desulfurization units.
Compatibility with Asian/Indian Refineries
Asian refiners (e.g., Japan, South Korea): They have recently purchased ANS cargoes, especially amid Middle East supply disruptions. Shorter shipping times from Alaska (~815 days faster than Middle East routes) are a big plus. However, some Japanese refiners note technical challenges like higher metallic impurities, which may need extra processing equipment for large volumes.
Indian refineries: Highly capable due to high complexity. India's largest complex (Reliance Jamnagar) has the world's highest Nelson Complexity Index (~21.1) and has processed over 216 different crude grades, including heavy/sour varieties from Venezuela, Iran, and Russia. It handles wide variations in API gravity and sulfur content efficiently, turning lower-quality crudes into high-value fuels.
Most modern Indian refineries (e.g., those of IOCL, BPCL, HPCL, and Reliance) are configured for medium-to-heavy sour crudes common from the Middle East and Russia. ANS fits well within this rangeit's not overly heavy or ultra-sour, so blending or minor adjustments suffice. India already imports significant U.S. crude (including various grades), and its refiners have flexibility for spot purchases.
Practical Considerations
Logistics: Shorter Pacific routes benefit Asia vs. longer Middle East voyages. Exports from Valdez, Alaska, have gone to Asia historically and recently.
Economics: ANS can be attractive during disruptions (e.g., Hormuz issues), though it competes on price with Russian or U.S. Gulf crudes.
Limitations: Older or simpler refineries might need blending with lighter/sweeter crudes for optimal yields, but this is standard industry practice.
In summary, yesit's capable and has been used successfully, particularly in complex Indian facilities and select Asian ones. Compatibility depends on the specific refinery's configuration, but India's refining sector is among the most adaptable globally. For current market details, check trade data from EIA or shipping trackers.


What is this AI slop?

Think for yourself, bud. Alaska doesn't export much crude. 90% of it goes to CA/WA for domestic refining. Almost all of US exports are from PADD 3. Grok doing you dirty. Why no mention of TX/LA?

Quote:

For current market details, check trade data from EIA or shipping trackers.

Thanks for the suggestion, Grok. I already do/did in my original response. Maybe tell your master to "research before rattling off garbage."

Export of crude by PADD: https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_move_exp_dc_R30-Z00_mbbl_m.htm

Insane to simp for corp/govt. revenues over normal Americans, including yourself. If you drive, fly or buy you're taking it up the wallet right now. Have a great summer.

LMAO- you remind me of my wife who hates AI yet for years has been living with Google.

the PADD link YOU posted is good up to Feb 2026, before the Iranian war, old information.

Alaska is closer to Asia/Japan and AK production will continue to climb as this administration relieves government regulations allowing more drilling within proven reserves that have been restricted.

Also, I counted over a dozen tankers yesterday in or near the Houston ship channel, way more than normal and I believe a lot of that new business will remain long after the SOH is open. I am big on Red state oil production and refinery, especially from Texas/LA.

as far as paying more at the pump, I do remember my liberal sister telling me she didn't mind paying a little extra in gasoline cost during Biden's administration support of Ukraine, you remember, when gasoline was higher than what it is today…and as far as enjoying the summer, we are planning a cross country trip in the Winnebago, driving to Washington DC for the birthday bash…..











Jesus Christ, grandpa. It's EIA.

I'll take data over YOUUUU saw some boats. Alaska produces for west coast consumption. I don't know what to tell you. Trans-Alaskan pipeline exists for us. We could row it to Asia, but we don't. We pipe it to the lower-48. Just ask EIA… or ask a moose you saw near Galveston or whatever you trust.

I'm dipping. Not interested in more Facebook, Alex Jones level discussion. Have a great night.
mjschiller
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AG
Sounds like some TexAgs are in communist china's corner.
Marvin J. Schiller
SteveA
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AG
Quote:

Quote:

That's a bit short sighted. But, that tracks with pretty much everything we have seen in this conflict so far.


The Iranians have destroyed large parts of our military and killed thousands of our soldiers?

No, the plan an execution has been short sighted.
Ag with kids
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AG
SteveA said:

Quote:

Quote:

That's a bit short sighted. But, that tracks with pretty much everything we have seen in this conflict so far.


The Iranians have destroyed large parts of our military and killed thousands of our soldiers?

No, the plan an execution has been short sighted.

Explain how..
You can turn off signatures, btw
FCBlitz
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AGHouston11 said:

Weeks ago it was announced by Trump that Iran will agree to everything he has demanded. That lasted a day and was followed by more false announcements they have agreed to everything.
That was later followed by they will have an economic collapse in a few days which was a while ago.

Meanwhile the "regime" has constantly said they are winning and have never agreed to anything.

Now here we are with constant moving goal posts.

We went from we are ahead of schedule, their civilization will end, to they have agreed to everything we want, to Trump saying nothing may be resolved.

The strait that was open before this all began is now being controlled by Iran and now also has a US blockade because they have not capitulated.

Is there an exit strategy? What is it ?


This make you very happy doesn't it! It's weird to see gleeful people happy about something they have misunderstood. Kinda like Rosanna Rossana Dana.
TXCityAggie
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AG
The US is going to end up spending billions of dollars only to make a "deal" that's almost exactly like the one that Trump ripped up a decade ago.
amercer
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AG
Well probably worse than that one because now they will keep all the new material they enriched.

Still, maybe they decide that a bomb isn't worth it now that they've seen a couple speedboats and some drones is all they need to hold the world hostage.
flown-the-coop
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AG
TXCityAggie said:

The US is going to end up spending billions of dollars only to make a "deal" that's almost exactly like the one that Trump ripped up a decade ago.

The one where they kept at their nuclear ambitions, thwarted any inspectors and took the cold hard cash and divided up to their Houthhamahezbollah friends? That gem of an agreement?

And Trump tore it up by taking out their nuclear ambitions and when that message was not received we took out much more.

But yea, should have kept Brother Husseins most perfect deal negotiated by longtime Iranian fellater John Kerry.

Going to assume sarcasm because the alternative explanation is just to fantastical to believe the concept that Trump is going to surrender like ObamaKerry.
 
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