Supreme Court Decisions for Wednesday, April 29nd

23,910 Views | 262 Replies | Last: 13 hrs ago by will25u
flown-the-coop
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to will25u • 1:44p, 4/29/26
AG
She certainly has no idea Gerry is a real person, has no idea that a salamander is not a person, and has no idea what either looks like and what the hell all this nonsense about suffrage is but it needs to stop!

She's not a freaking botanist for crying out loud. She's the queen of SCOTUS, to deny her is just white privilege extended its systemic racist tentacles.
Reply Quote
4
1 edit
TRM
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to IDaggie06 • 1:47p, 4/29/26
AG
IDaggie06 said:
Polymarket and Kalshi hardly budging with this Supreme Court news. That's a bit disappointing. They are still showing over 80% chance of dems winning house.

Why would it budge? Many candidate filing deadlines have passed and then it takes time to redraw a map. One GA governor candidate called on the GA state congress to redraw their maps...and early voting for their primary has already started.
Reply Quote
P.H. Dexippus
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to will25u • 1:51p, 4/29/26
AG
will25u said:

man crush.
Reply Quote
15
Teslag
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to OldArmy71 • 1:53p, 4/29/26
AG
OldArmy71 said:
Anyone who thinks this decision means the Democrats will fade from national power is dreaming.

If they get in power in the mid-terms they will try to pack the Supreme Court and simply change this decision.

They will also add two new Democrat states.


How will they do this just by winning the mid terms?
Reply Quote
17
flown-the-coop
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to TRM • 2:06p, 4/29/26
AG
TRM said:
IDaggie06 said:
Polymarket and Kalshi hardly budging with this Supreme Court news. That's a bit disappointing. They are still showing over 80% chance of dems winning house.

Why would it budge? Many candidate filing deadlines have passed and then it takes time to redraw a map. One GA governor candidate called on the GA state congress to redraw their maps...and early voting for their primary has already started.

COVID taught us we can change voting laws and procedures at any time up to, including and even after Election Day as long as we have reasons and complicit state legislatures and governors.

Libs need to learn the will have no standing should they wish to preemptively challenge these changes.

At least that's how I remember things…
Reply Quote
19
2026NCAggies
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to IDaggie06 • 2:12p, 4/29/26
IDaggie06 said:
Polymarket and Kalshi hardly budging with this Supreme Court news. That's a bit disappointing. They are still showing over 80% chance of dems winning house.

Best to wait till states redraw. If you get 4 states out of Mississippi, Georgia, Florida, Louisiana, Bama to redistrict than those odds will flip in favor of Rs

Also they are still counting on Virginia's new map which may be shot down

If you get a combined of both of the above, Rs win the house almost guaranteed. If you just get 4 states to redistrict, and Virginia goes through, I would put the odds on Rs at 55 to 60% to win it

Man I pray it is a combo of the two, that would be the funniest sh** ever, you know how fun it will be to hear the Dems cry like babies? It will be epic
Reply Quote
5
1 edit
will25u
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
2:20p, 4/29/26
A lot of states cannot redistrict in time for 2026 midterms. Too late.

Georgia I know is one. Primary voting is already happening.
Reply Quote
4
flown-the-coop
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to will25u • 2:30p, 4/29/26
AG
will25u said:
A lot of states cannot redistrict in time for 2026 midterms. Too late.

Georgia I know is one. Primary voting is already happening.

The law changed, so there is valid reason to redo the primary if necessary.
Reply Quote
12
BusterAg
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to OldArmy71 • 2:34p, 4/29/26
AG
OldArmy71 said:
Anyone who thinks this decision means the Democrats will fade from national power is dreaming.

If they get in power in the mid-terms they will try to pack the Supreme Court and simply change this decision.

They will also add two new Democrat states.

You do realize that Trump is still going to be president in 2027, right?
Reply Quote
15
2026NCAggies
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to OldArmy71 • 2:34p, 4/29/26
OldArmy71 said:
Anyone who thinks this decision means the Democrats will fade from national power is dreaming.

If they get in power in the mid-terms they will try to pack the Supreme Court and simply change this decision.

They will also add two new Democrat states.

I do not see them winning all three at once anytime in the next 14 years. They keep going further left. Dems will have a major battle on their hands to win 2028 Presidential election, especially if economy turns around

Also they will not win the senate in 2026 and looking at the senates up for grabs in 2028 leads me to believe they will not take it. Toss ups that year are Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Nevada and Arizona

Warnock is not popular at all, Fetterman is not popular with Dems, Nevada is trending red, Ohio is trending red, Ted Budd is an incumbent that is not disliked, Arizona is still a toss up

House will also be hard for them in 2028, with Utah, Mississippi, Louisiana, Bama, Georgia, Florida, Tennessee and possibly Kentucky redrawing. Also Nebraska and India could redraw

House gets even harder for Dems after 2030 census when red states will gain seats and Dems states losing seats
Reply Quote
7
will25u
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
2:35p, 4/29/26
Reply Quote
27
Jessy255
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
2:38p, 4/29/26
It's unlikely we'll see Callais today, though I wouldn't rule it out completely.
Reply Quote
Windy City Ag
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Jessy255 • 2:40p, 4/29/26
AG
Quote:
It's unlikely we'll see Callais today, though I wouldn't rule it out completely.

Reply Quote
12
aggiehawg
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to 2026NCAggies • 2:43p, 4/29/26
AG
Quote:
Also they are still counting on Virginia's new map which may be shot down

The court refusing to stay the order prohibiting the certification of the vote indicates they, the court, believe the plaintiffs challenging it will prevail. So that new "map" will not go into effect.
Reply Quote
9
nortex97
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to will25u • 2:45p, 4/29/26
AG
will25u said:
A lot of states cannot redistrict in time for 2026 midterms. Too late.

Georgia I know is one. Primary voting is already happening.

You are right, of course, and I am concerned Louisiana won't be able to respond in time either this year, but the impact is still going to continue, steadily, over the next few years. This is why Democrats were so apoplectic about 'Texas redistricting.'

It's also why Virginia's scheme is in so much trouble (early voting started before the redistricting amendment was announced).
Reply Quote
16
TAMU1990
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
3:04p, 4/29/26
AG


Reply Quote
13
Z3phyr
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
3:25p, 4/29/26
DeSantis proving why he is a great executive. That response time after the Virginia vote was impressive.
Reply Quote
28
BusterAg
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Jessy255 • 3:32p, 4/29/26
AG
Jessy255 said:
It's unlikely we'll see Callais today, though I wouldn't rule it out completely.

Reply Quote
6
Secolobo
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
3:44p, 4/29/26
AG
Interesting to see how even in smaller elections how the past effects of lulac and maldef suing to force school districts in small towns to change from at-large elections to drawn-out districts to gain "representation" from minorities.
Reply Quote
4
JDUB08AG
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
4:18p, 4/29/26
AG
I didn't realize how wild this was. Let's compare Massachusetts and Alabama. Both solid states for Dems and GOP, respectively.

In 2024, MA went 61-36 for Harris and AL went 64-34 for Trump. 9/9 in MA are Dem and 5/7 in AL are GOP. Just a couple years ago it was only 4/7.

That is the uneven playing field the GOP has dealt with for a long time.

Reply Quote
31
4stringAg
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
4:28p, 4/29/26
AG
Looks like this will have more impact in 2028 given primaries and early voting have started in a lot of states. Census in 2030 will/should favor some red states getting extra seats that have seen higher population growth and migration away from blue states.

So Dems may still take the House in 2026 and as long as the Reps can hold the Senate shouldn't be able to do too much damage, endless string of impeachments though likely
Reply Quote
4
Logos Stick
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to 4stringAg • 4:33p, 4/29/26
4stringAg said:
Looks like this will have more impact in 2028 given primaries and early voting have started in a lot of states. Census in 2030 will/should favor some red states getting extra seats that have seen higher population growth and migration away from blue states.

So Dems may still take the House in 2026 and as long as the Reps can hold the Senate shouldn't be able to do too much damage, endless string of impeachments though likely


And multiple shutdowns and no reconciliation bills.
Reply Quote
4
Gigem314
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to JDUB08AG • 4:45p, 4/29/26
AG
JDUB08AG said:
I didn't realize how wild this was. Let's compare Massachusetts and Alabama. Both solid states for Dems and GOP, respectively.

In 2024, MA went 61-36 for Harris and AL went 64-34 for Trump. 9/9 in MA are Dem and 5/7 in AL are GOP. Just a couple years ago it was only 4/7.

That is the uneven playing field the GOP has dealt with for a long time.

Democrats conveniently leave this out when they try and blame Texas for starting this. It's been going on in heavy blue states for many many years.
Reply Quote
14
will25u
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
5:42p, 4/29/26
Reply Quote
13
will25u
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
5:49p, 4/29/26

Reply Quote
8
1 edit
doubledog
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
6:03p, 4/29/26
Question for our Democratic posters...

If two Black Republicans were elected with a the new district map in LA, would that be considered to be racial representation? Blacks make up about 30% of the LA population and 2 Black Republicans (out of 6 total) would represent 30% of the congressional representation.
Reply Quote
3
1 edit
Lathspell
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to doubledog • 6:08p, 4/29/26
AG
doubledog said:
Question for our Democratic posters...

If two Black Republicans were elected with a the new district map in LA, would that be considered to be racial representation? Blacks make up about 30% of the LA population and 2 Black Republicans (out of 6 total) would represent 30% of the congressional representation.

Of course not. Dems don't view them as real blacks. You must either conform to their way of thinking or you are a Nazi Those are the only options, according to Dems.
Reply Quote
13
will25u
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
6:49p, 4/29/26


Reply Quote
4
BTKAG97
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to doubledog • 6:53p, 4/29/26
AG
doubledog said:
Question for our Democratic posters...

If two Black Republicans were elected with a the new district map in LA, would that be considered to be racial representation? Blacks make up about 30% of the LA population and 2 Black Republicans (out of 6 total) would represent 30% of the congressional representation.
Out of the 4 black Republicans in the House, NONE of them was allowed on that Black Congressional Caucus.
Reply Quote
12
OldArmy71
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to BTKAG97 • 8:48p, 4/29/26
AG
Just as a passing thought, the NYT has been alerting its readers for a couple of weeks that all four Republicans in the House are retiring, which means that the Republican Party is once more clearly a terrible and racist group.....or something like that.
Reply Quote
1
will25u
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
4:59a, 4/30/26
Reply Quote
8
ts5641
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to 2026NCAggies • 5:48a, 4/30/26
2026NCAggies said:
IDaggie06 said:
Polymarket and Kalshi hardly budging with this Supreme Court news. That's a bit disappointing. They are still showing over 80% chance of dems winning house.

Best to wait till states redraw. If you get 4 states out of Mississippi, Georgia, Florida, Louisiana, Bama to redistrict than those odds will flip in favor of Rs

Also they are still counting on Virginia's new map which may be shot down

If you get a combined of both of the above, Rs win the house almost guaranteed. If you just get 4 states to redistrict, and Virginia goes through, I would put the odds on Rs at 55 to 60% to win it

Man I pray it is a combo of the two, that would be the funniest sh** ever, you know how fun it will be to hear the Dems cry like babies? It will be epic

When can the states redraw? Too late for the midterms?
Reply Quote
nortex97
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to ts5641 • 6:08a, 4/30/26
AG
It's not too late for any of them that I have seen. Louisiana is suspending the primaries tomorrow to redraw. If it had been June when released as thought it would have been too late.

Great (long) thread from the Iowa solicitor general here for those with access to X, he lays out what Alito wrote/impact very clearly:

Reply Quote
4
LeonardSkinner
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to doubledog • 8:41a, 4/30/26
doubledog said:
Question for our Democratic posters...

If two Black Republicans were elected with a the new district map in LA, would that be considered to be racial representation? Blacks make up about 30% of the LA population and 2 Black Republicans (out of 6 total) would represent 30% of the congressional representation.

No, because white people would be the ones that elected them. Meaning that Black people still didn't get to pick their representatives.
Reply Quote
3
Teslag
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to nortex97 • 8:44a, 4/30/26
AG
Wasn't Alabama forced to include an extra black seat a few years ago? Is there time to go for broke there too?
Reply Quote
7
 
×
subscribe Verify your student status
See Subscription Benefits
Trial only available to users who have never subscribed or participated in a previous trial.