be safe out there, bayou.
Kozmozag said:
My Daughter is flying to Guadalajara on thursday for a wedding. How bad of an idea is this?
Kozmozag said:
My Daughter is flying to Guadalajara on thursday for a wedding. How bad of an idea is this?
Bayou City said:
You couldnt pay me enough money to be in Jalisco over the next couple of weeks. We live here and are out for 2 weeks for a reason (weve seen mltiple dead bodies before and the head of the Police killed but this is different if that gives you any level of our acclimation to violence here). The Government can't control the cartels.This isn't a one day affair and a wedding is exactly the kind of thing they like to shoot up…
If it was CDMX, I'd say go and have fun. You couldnt get me to visit estado Jalisco for my life right now.
torrid said:
Is this level of violence in a tourist area unprecedented? I thought there were unwritten rules about keeping the violence away from the tourist hotspots.
Kozmozag said:
My Daughter is flying to Guadalajara on thursday for a wedding. How bad of an idea is this?
P.U.T.U said:Dirty_Mike&the_boys said:
This coming from the person who ran for president basically unopposed because the Cartel killed the other 37 candidates.Mexican President said using force against cartels would breach human rights:
— Open Source Intel (@Osint613) February 23, 2026
“Returning to the war against the narco is not an option. First, because it is outside the framework of the law.” pic.twitter.com/nYtiZ8FEN5
Seen several people report the Mexico army and navy were working with the USA and not their own president to kill the leader of CJNG. I don't think this is going to be a 48-72 hour war.
I also think everything happening the past month is all connected. We have known since around 2012 that Hezbollah and the cartels have been training together in south America in places like Venezuela. Venezuela has known links to China, Russia, and Iran. The cartels have been probing the border with drones and come to find out they sent people to Ukraine to learn drone warfare.
I would not be surprised if taking down Maduro starting this domino effect. Both Venezuela and Iran lost a lot of money that day, the USA is putting a lot of pressure on Iran, the cartels try something around the border and we have to shut airspace down, and now the USA is working directly with the Mexican military without approval of their president.
Crazy times
Kozmozag said:
My Daughter is flying to Guadalajara on thursday for a wedding. How bad of an idea is this?
Bayou City said:
No - they're gone out of their way to avoid civilian casualties.
Nation Guard being attacked all over though.
All the civilians in the cars that were burned were escorted away.
Our friends out front of the OXXO that for torched yesterday said they came in w guns, had everyone leave and then popped it once everyone was gone and the store next door was empty.
Not saying they' arent bad but they do seem to be trying to minimize civilizan deaths and go only against the govt.
B-1 83 said:P.U.T.U said:Dirty_Mike&the_boys said:
This coming from the person who ran for president basically unopposed because the Cartel killed the other 37 candidates.Mexican President said using force against cartels would breach human rights:
— Open Source Intel (@Osint613) February 23, 2026
“Returning to the war against the narco is not an option. First, because it is outside the framework of the law.” pic.twitter.com/nYtiZ8FEN5
Seen several people report the Mexico army and navy were working with the USA and not their own president to kill the leader of CJNG. I don't think this is going to be a 48-72 hour war.
I also think everything happening the past month is all connected. We have known since around 2012 that Hezbollah and the cartels have been training together in south America in places like Venezuela. Venezuela has known links to China, Russia, and Iran. The cartels have been probing the border with drones and come to find out they sent people to Ukraine to learn drone warfare.
I would not be surprised if taking down Maduro starting this domino effect. Both Venezuela and Iran lost a lot of money that day, the USA is putting a lot of pressure on Iran, the cartels try something around the border and we have to shut airspace down, and now the USA is working directly with the Mexican military without approval of their president.
Crazy times
Official word is the US military helped the out. Word on the street is that ICE was deep into this.
Bayou City said:
I think maduro solidified across alot of LATAM that FAFO isn't the best option and it's 100% on the table always. I think it's made alot of the leaders reassess the personal benefits to being so obtuse to the US. CS is no different. She can't let US troops overtly operate here but she can use Intel and hide behind training operations etc to basically provide the same cooperation minus the press.
Don't forget that Trump historically loved AMLO and has Praised CS. She's a socialista but one he knows how to use and intimdate.
Don't forget that CS and the rest of the MXN govt knows the US has multiple of Chapo's kids and El Mayo. They know way too much about las mordidas so they need to put on a front that they're serious about stopping the drug flow or they're toast.
Bayou City said:
Just putting this Out there because we had the conversation Last night and Not trying to detail or start an off topic conversation but there's no doubt we have friends in both the major cartels and don't know it. Is that good ? Bad? Just a fact of living here? Who knows but to say it isn't true would be naive.
FriscoKid said:
I'd 100% support sending in ground troops to Mexico to support their government if they are serious about rooting up the cartels. This would only help America and Mexico in the long run.
Mas89 said:
Will the college kids on spring break in Cabo be safe if they still go?
YouBet said:Bayou City said:
I think maduro solidified across alot of LATAM that FAFO isn't the best option and it's 100% on the table always. I think it's made alot of the leaders reassess the personal benefits to being so obtuse to the US. CS is no different. She can't let US troops overtly operate here but she can use Intel and hide behind training operations etc to basically provide the same cooperation minus the press.
Don't forget that Trump historically loved AMLO and has Praised CS. She's a socialista but one he knows how to use and intimdate.
Don't forget that CS and the rest of the MXN govt knows the US has multiple of Chapo's kids and El Mayo. They know way too much about las mordidas so they need to put on a front that they're serious about stopping the drug flow or they're toast.
Also, this kind of went quietly under the radar in the news but I remember reading a WSJ article about her when she was running for office and she very cooperative with US law enforcement and authorities while Mayor of CDMX. She apparently frequently worked with us on crime issues while in that role despite her far left wing ideology. Seems to be bit of a dichotomy in that regard.
AgBQ-00 said:YouBet said:Bayou City said:
I think maduro solidified across alot of LATAM that FAFO isn't the best option and it's 100% on the table always. I think it's made alot of the leaders reassess the personal benefits to being so obtuse to the US. CS is no different. She can't let US troops overtly operate here but she can use Intel and hide behind training operations etc to basically provide the same cooperation minus the press.
Don't forget that Trump historically loved AMLO and has Praised CS. She's a socialista but one he knows how to use and intimdate.
Don't forget that CS and the rest of the MXN govt knows the US has multiple of Chapo's kids and El Mayo. They know way too much about las mordidas so they need to put on a front that they're serious about stopping the drug flow or they're toast.
Also, this kind of went quietly under the radar in the news but I remember reading a WSJ article about her when she was running for office and she very cooperative with US law enforcement and authorities while Mayor of CDMX. She apparently frequently worked with us on crime issues while in that role despite her far left wing ideology. Seems to be bit of a dichotomy in that regard.
Probably some pragmatism at work...playing as many sides as possible to gain power and try and wrangle enough power to be untouchable.
riverrataggie said:Kozmozag said:
My Daughter is flying to Guadalajara on thursday for a wedding. How bad of an idea is this?
I have to believe the wedding will be moved. Having a gringo wedding in Mexico right now isn't the smartest.
Bayou City said:
Just putting this Out there because we had the conversation Last night and Not trying to detail or start an off topic conversation but there's no doubt we have friends in both the major cartels and don't know it. Is that good ? Bad? Just a fact of living here? Who knows but to say it isn't true would be naive.
Logos Stick said:FriscoKid said:
I'd 100% support sending in ground troops to Mexico to support their government if they are serious about rooting up the cartels. This would only help America and Mexico in the long run.
It's just whack a mole. Kill one and another will take their place. I'm good with killing them, but I don't expect any long term benefit or mitigation. Mexico is what it is.
Logos Stick said:FriscoKid said:
I'd 100% support sending in ground troops to Mexico to support their government if they are serious about rooting up the cartels. This would only help America and Mexico in the long run.
It's just whack a mole. Kill one and another will take their place. I'm good with killing them, but I don't expect any long term benefit or mitigation. Mexico is what it is.