***Iran [Military Action Thread]***[See Staff Note in OP]

397,095 Views | 2313 Replies | Last: 16 min ago by ErnestEndeavor
TAMUallen
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Fitch
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Worldwide, apparently.
The Fall Guy
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Fitch said:

Worldwide, apparently.


The big Bombers about to hit? Trump just said the largest wave has not happened yet but soon
bonfarr
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Reports on X that Maravan prison was hit and was abandoned by guards and the prisoners are freed. Dissidents and Kurdish fighters were held there.

Several Kurdish factions are grouping together in opposition to the IRGC so we will likely see some street level fighting in the future. I'm pretty sure the Iranian police and military are holed up in mosques and religious centers so I expect to see images of some of them in flames soon and they try to blame US and Israel bombing.
Rapier108
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bonfarr said:

Reports on X that Maravan prison was hit and was abandoned by guards and the prisoners are freed. Dissidents and Kurdish fighters were held there.

Several Kurdish factions are grouping together in opposition to the IRGC so we will likely see some street level fighting in the future. I'm pretty sure the Iranian police and military are holed up in mosques and religious centers so I expect to see images of some of them in flames soon and they try to blame US and Israel bombing.

Probably inside girls' schools.

That is their favorite place to hide and park weapons because it gives the American left something to screech about.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
Fitch
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Also saw a video of political dissidents being taken out and transported to likely target spots as human shields. No idea if real, who can tell these days, but not a big leap to imagine would be accurate.
The Fall Guy
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UAE says they shot down 15 missiles and 150 drones today

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/emiratis-say-they-downed-15-missiles-almost-150-iranian-drones-today/
The Fall Guy
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https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/new-israeli-strikes-reportedly-hit-hezbollah-stronghold-in-south-beirut/

Israel hitting Lebanon again now
Fatboy Thaddeus
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Iran's strategy here is quite the headscratcher. IMO it's more attributable to the removal of their leadership than any kind of grand vision. The IRI's policy in the 2000s and 2010s was characterized by carefully camoflauged rationality and shrewdness. That is nowhere to be seen now. Iran's behavior is pure spiral ham.

In any case this jacket will follow the IRI regime for life, just like a snitch or weirdo jacket would follow an inmate around the state penal system.

IIRC Iran had border skirmishes with Astan <1yr ago. And an independent Kurdistan would be a feisty bulwark against the coming Turkish domination of the region. Point being, I wonder if we'll see new Kurdistan and Balochistan nations born out of the events of the last 24-36 hours.
The Fall Guy
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https://www.timesofisrael.com/four-of-the-9-victims-of-iranian-missile-strike-on-beit-shemesh-named-by-authorities/

9 victims of synagogue hit yesterday in Israel named.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/four-of-the-9-victims-of-iranian-missile-strike-on-beit-shemesh-named-by-authorities/
YouBet
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Fatboy Thaddeus said:

Iran's strategy here is quite the headscratcher. IMO it's more attributable to the removal of their leadership than any kind of grand vision. The IRI's policy in the 2000s and 2010s was characterized by carefully camoflauged rationality and shrewdness. That is nowhere to be seen now. Iran's behavior is pure spiral ham.

In any case this jacket will follow the IRI regime for life, just like a snitch or weirdo jacket would follow an inmate around the state penal system.

IIRC Iran had border skirmishes with Astan <1yr ago. And an independent Kurdistan would be a feisty bulwark against the coming Turkish domination of the region. Point being, I wonder if we'll see new Kurdistan and Balochistan nations born out of the events of the last 24-36 hours.


Who or what is Balochistan? Just another sect that's been oppressed since borders were drawn in WW2?
Fatboy Thaddeus
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YouBet said:


Who or what is Balochistan? Just another sect that's been oppressed since borders were drawn in WW2?

Exactly, but AIUI an ethnicity rather than a religious sect, something like this wikipedia map
BBRex
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They are having issues with Pakistan. Giving them a space could cool some tensions there.
The Fall Guy
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Iranian media just announced Khomeinis wife has died
Ag In Ok
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The Fall Guy said:

UAE says they shot down 15 missiles and 150 drones today

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/emiratis-say-they-downed-15-missiles-almost-150-iranian-drones-today/


Unfortunately the UAE nor others in the region can keep up with the missiles if Iran has the numbers that Isreal believes they have. Drones seem doable in uncontested airspace. If UAE had 15 incoming in that period, how many went to the other gulf and wider area states?
TAMUallen
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TAMUallen
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UAE is putting up big numbers!

Hard to imagine what the world would be like if drone and missile intercept technology hadn't been developed

bonfarr
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Quote:

In addition to other armed forces of the Iranian government, much of the violence carried out against protesters is orchestrated by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).

Known in Farsi as "Sepah e Pasdaran e Enghelab e Eslami," which translates to the "legion of the guardians of the Islamic Revolution," the IRGC is one the most powerful, diversified, and heavily-militarized prongs of Islamic Regime's Armed Forces. This powerful entity reports directly to the country's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and has been sanctioned by the U,S. and others as a terrorist group. The group is weaponized with its own naval, aerospace, intelligence, ground, and foreign forces (Quds), along with its own militiathe parliamentary volunteers known as Basij, whose unrestricted presence in all aspects of the Iranian society remains a profound source of disquiet and rancor among Iranian citizens.


https://time.com/6238623/iran-basij-militia-meaning-mahsa-amini/
AgResearch
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You're welcome, again, Europe. Saving their asses from eventual bombing.
The Fall Guy
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Sounds like another Hezbohla member taken out.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/idf-says-latest-beirut-strike-targeted-senior-hezbollah-operative/
The Fall Guy
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Looks like Hezbohla hit the British airbase with the drone yesterday in Cypress.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/cypriot-officials-say-lebanons-hezbollah-likely-fired-drone-that-hit-british-airbase/
TAMUallen
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Nice to see some compassion and support in a chaotic world

TAMUallen
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Another step in the right direction

OnlyForNow
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Is it just me, or is it crazy that the pilot didn't have his sidearm at the ready?

I guess he is not expecting the enemy to roll up?
JFABNRGR
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Wow super skills by pakastani security forces trying to help protect US Embassy, I have to assume our Marines don't really rely on them.

“You can resolve to live your life with integrity. Let your credo be this: Let the lie come into the world, let it even triumph. But not through me.”
- Alexander Solzhenitsyn
Fenrir
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OnlyForNow said:

Is it just me, or is it crazy that the pilot didn't have his sidearm at the ready?

I guess he is not expecting the enemy to roll up?

There is some uncanny valley happening in that one for me. I think it's fair to question if it's a real video or not.
TAMUallen
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OnlyForNow said:

Is it just me, or is it crazy that the pilot didn't have his sidearm at the ready?

I guess he is not expecting the enemy to roll up?


Seemed to be pretty stunned and in shock.
AgBQ-00
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JFABNRGR said:

Wow super skills by pakastani security forces trying to help protect US Embassy, I have to assume our Marines don't really rely on them.



the definition of inshallah
God loves you so much He'll meet you where you are. He also loves you too much to allow to stay where you are.

We sing Hallelujah! The Lamb has overcome!
aggiedata
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The Fall Guy said:

Looks like Hezbohla hit the British airbase with the drone yesterday in Cypress.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/cypriot-officials-say-lebanons-hezbollah-likely-fired-drone-that-hit-british-airbase/




YouBet
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"Security forces". That's embarrassing.
4
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The Fall Guy said:

Iranian media just announced Khomeinis wife has died

Seeing as Khomenei died like 45 years ago, I'd say this is old news.

Khamenei's wife died today, though
TAMUallen
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YouBet said:

"Security forces". That's embarrassing.


Better than nothing and much better than the "security forces" who help or enable the enemy though
The Fall Guy
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aggiedata said:

The Fall Guy said:

Looks like Hezbohla hit the British airbase with the drone yesterday in Cypress.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/cypriot-officials-say-lebanons-hezbollah-likely-fired-drone-that-hit-british-airbase/







Just now or was this yesterday?
K2-HMFIC
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TAMUallen said:

Nice to see some compassion and support in a chaotic world





The call sign renaming after this will be epic.
12Power
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If I were the pilot, I would not want to be videoed or photographed.
 
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