***Iran [Military Action Thread]***[See Staff Note in OP]

454,700 Views | 2560 Replies | Last: 19 min ago by agsalaska
bonfarr
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AG
The Fall Guy said:

Israel tells Iranian officials in Lebanon to leave in 24 hours! Since they just killed off the head dude in Iran responsible for them. GTFO!

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/idf-threatens-iranian-officials-in-lebanon-warning-them-to-leave-the-country-within-24-hours/


"But before you leave kindly provide us your forwarding address"
GAC06
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AG
YouBet said:

Why do people keep harping on the Strait being closed due to attacks? It's open.

The problem is the insurance issue covered multiple times in this thread.

Y'all need to read the thread.


If ships won't sail because of insurance worried about attacks, it's effectively closed
bonfarr
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AG
Symbolic for now but the movement is growing…


The Fall Guy
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AG
Loud explosions in Erbil Iraq.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/explosions-said-heard-in-iraqi-kurdistan-capital-of-erbil/

Proxies hitting our bases again?
TRM
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AG
MGS
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MagnumLoad said:

Gaeilge said:

benchmark said:

Gaeilge said:

China is going to have to self-insure the oil going through the Hormuz, which I don't think will be an issue for them. But marine traffic through the Hormuz will slow dramatically more until the war risk coverage is extended back to the area.

Yep. Transportation insurance isn't going to stop China from receiving 40% of their oil imports via Hormuz. China also has a navy very capable of escorting tankers ... something the US absolutely wouldn't want to see. So there's also that.

China will not move ships to the Persian Gulf with all of our units there.

Indeed!

You think that the Chinese navy has much faith in it's sea-based air defense systems after it saw what happened with it's land-based ones?
USAFAg
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bonfarr said:

AgLA06 said:

bonfarr said:

Not for taking out ballistic missiles but for drone defense it matters.


It doesn't. APKWS Laser guided Hydra 70 rockets aren't for air defense, but cheap replacements for the hellfire that is used for armor or troop concentrations.


Not true, go back and read what I and others posted earlier. There is video of a US jet taking out a drone with APKWS. This is now one of the primary anti-drone weapons we are using.

Correct. One example linked. Ground based units have been operating in combat zones since before 2022.

VAMPIRE MPWS


Quote:

Ukraine is being supplied with APKWS rockets following the Russian invasion of Ukraine.[url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_Precision_Kill_Weapon_System#cite_note-58][58][/url][url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_Precision_Kill_Weapon_System#cite_note-59][59][/url] As part of an aid package announced by the U.S. in August 2022, the L3Harris Vehicle-Agnostic Modular Palletized ISR Rocket Equipment (VAMPIRE [uk]) system was ordered to be sent to Ukraine. The system consists of a sensor ball and a four-barreled APKWS rocket launcher that can be mounted on trucks. While it can direct laser-guided rockets on ground targets, the Pentagon specified it as a counter-UAS system.[url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_Precision_Kill_Weapon_System#cite_note-60][60][/url] The company said the kit could be ready for delivery by May 2023.[url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_Precision_Kill_Weapon_System#cite_note-61][61][/url] L3Harris was formally given a $40 million purchase order in January 2023. The award was part of a U.S. Navy prototype contract that pre-dated the war; field testing had begun in 2021 and after the system was submitted to the DoD in April 2022, range and durability tests were conducted in the summer. 14 kits would be installed on vehicles the U.S. provided Ukraine, with four systems to be delivered by mid-2023 and 10 more by the end of the year.[url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_Precision_Kill_Weapon_System#cite_note-62][62][/url] Videos started appearing in May 2023 of Ukrainian-operated M1152 Humvees fitted with LGR4 four-shot launchers firing APKWS.[url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_Precision_Kill_Weapon_System#cite_note-63][63][/url] In September, the Pentagon confirmed the first four VAMPIREs had arrived in Ukraine in mid-2023.[url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_Precision_Kill_Weapon_System#cite_note-64][64][/url] All 14 systems were delivered by December 2023.[url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_Precision_Kill_Weapon_System#cite_note-65][65][/url][url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_Precision_Kill_Weapon_System#cite_note-66][66][/url] On 25 January 2025, reports emerged of a boat-mounted Vampire missile equipped with APKWS successfully shooting down a Russian Kh-59 cruise missile over the Black Sea.[url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_Precision_Kill_Weapon_System#cite_note-67][67][/url][url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_Precision_Kill_Weapon_System#cite_note-68][68][/url]

LMCane
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Lieutenant Colonel Ella Waweya |

#BREAKING The Defense Army eliminated in Tehran the commander of the Lebanon Corps affiliated with the Iranian Quds Force

The Air Force struck earlier today in the Tehran area and eliminated Dawood Ali Zadeh, who served as the acting commander of the Lebanon Corps affiliated with the Iranian Quds Force, succeeding Hassan Mahdavi, who was eliminated in a Defense Army airstrike. Ali Zadeh was the highest-ranking Iranian commander responsible for Iranian activities in Lebanon.

The Lebanon Corps serves as the vital link between Hezbollah and the Iranian regime and acts as a supporting entity for the expansion of Hezbollah's power and its military buildup. It also functioned as a connecting link between senior Quds Force commanders and Hezbollah's leadership.

Ali Zadeh previously held several positions, including commander of the strategic combat means unit in the Quds Force, where he oversaw the expansion of Hezbollah's arms in the field of strategic combat means. He also served as a prominent knowledge reference in the field of Hezbollah's capabilities and those of other proxies.

Zadeh assumed his position at the conclusion of Operation Northern Arrows and was involved in rebuilding Hezbollah and drawing lessons for managing hostile activities against Israel.

In recent times, he also played a role in pushing Hezbollah to carry out terrorist operations against the State of Israel.

Israel will not allow the positioning of Iranian terrorist elements on Lebanese soil in a manner that harms the State of Lebanon's reconstruction process and bolsters Hezbollah's power.

The Defense Army will continue operations against attempts to rebuild and arm Hezbollah, and will act decisively to remove any threat to the citizens of the State of Israel.
Fitch
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AG


No new supreme leader elected today and if the Assembly of experts are dead, it's going to be pretty much impossible for the Islamic Republic to appropriately select a new supreme leader according to the Constitution.

According to the Constitution, the Assembly of experts chooses the new supreme leader.

The Assembly of experts are a elected position by the people of Iran. So should anything happen to a member of the Assembly of experts, there has to be an election. But in order to run you have to be vetted through the guardian council who are appointed by the supreme leader so if anything happens to them as well then you literally cannot appropriately. Have a peaceful transition of power within the confines of the Islamic Republic of Iran's Constitution.
The Fall Guy
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AG
Hezbohla ally in Lebanons headquarters destroyed

aggiehawg
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Quote:

The Assembly of experts are a elected position by the people of Iran. So should anything happen to a member of the Assembly of experts, there has to be an election. But in order to run you have to be vetted through the guardian council who are appointed by the supreme leader so if anything happens to them as well then you literally cannot appropriately. Have a peaceful transition of power within the confines of the Islamic Republic of Iran's Constitution.

Nice Catch-22 there and Israel knew it.
The Fall Guy
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https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/lebanons-al-jamaa-al-islamiyya-says-idf-destroyed-its-hq-in-sidon/

Hezbohla ally headquarters in Sidon, Lebanon destroyed
GAC06
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I couldn't tell if it was white smoke or black smoke coming from the assembly of experts. Looked mostly like concrete dust
butchd5
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Israel is playing whack-a-mole only the mole loses every time.
Dog Company '71 Hell Bent Canines!
TAMUallen
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Uh oh now we're going to lose

74OA
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USA*** said:

bonfarr said:

AgLA06 said:

bonfarr said:

Not for taking out ballistic missiles but for drone defense it matters.


It doesn't. APKWS Laser guided Hydra 70 rockets aren't for air defense, but cheap replacements for the hellfire that is used for armor or troop concentrations.


Not true, go back and read what I and others posted earlier. There is video of a US jet taking out a drone with APKWS. This is now one of the primary anti-drone weapons we are using.

Correct. One example linked. Ground based units have been operating in combat zones since before 2022.

VAMPIRE MPWS


Quote:

Ukraine is being supplied with APKWS rockets following the Russian invasion of Ukraine.[url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_Precision_Kill_Weapon_System#cite_note-58][58][/url][url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_Precision_Kill_Weapon_System#cite_note-59][59][/url] As part of an aid package announced by the U.S. in August 2022, the L3Harris Vehicle-Agnostic Modular Palletized ISR Rocket Equipment (VAMPIRE [uk]) system was ordered to be sent to Ukraine. The system consists of a sensor ball and a four-barreled APKWS rocket launcher that can be mounted on trucks. While it can direct laser-guided rockets on ground targets, the Pentagon specified it as a counter-UAS system.[url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_Precision_Kill_Weapon_System#cite_note-60][60][/url] The company said the kit could be ready for delivery by May 2023.[url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_Precision_Kill_Weapon_System#cite_note-61][61][/url] L3Harris was formally given a $40 million purchase order in January 2023. The award was part of a U.S. Navy prototype contract that pre-dated the war; field testing had begun in 2021 and after the system was submitted to the DoD in April 2022, range and durability tests were conducted in the summer. 14 kits would be installed on vehicles the U.S. provided Ukraine, with four systems to be delivered by mid-2023 and 10 more by the end of the year.[url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_Precision_Kill_Weapon_System#cite_note-62][62][/url] Videos started appearing in May 2023 of Ukrainian-operated M1152 Humvees fitted with LGR4 four-shot launchers firing APKWS.[url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_Precision_Kill_Weapon_System#cite_note-63][63][/url] In September, the Pentagon confirmed the first four VAMPIREs had arrived in Ukraine in mid-2023.[url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_Precision_Kill_Weapon_System#cite_note-64][64][/url] All 14 systems were delivered by December 2023.[url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_Precision_Kill_Weapon_System#cite_note-65][65][/url][url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_Precision_Kill_Weapon_System#cite_note-66][66][/url] On 25 January 2025, reports emerged of a boat-mounted Vampire missile equipped with APKWS successfully shooting down a Russian Kh-59 cruise missile over the Black Sea.[url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_Precision_Kill_Weapon_System#cite_note-67][67][/url][url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_Precision_Kill_Weapon_System#cite_note-68][68][/url]



Yep. In an effort to field an effective drone interceptor that is at least as cheap as its targets, Hydra rockets have been adapted and already employed in surface-to-air and air-to-air combat engagements.

AIR
GROUND
Who?mikejones!
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Who?mikejones!
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TAMUallen
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AG
It's a pretty moot point but it will be curious to see who is appointed and how long they stay alive

Gaeilge
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TAMUallen said:

It's a pretty moot point but it will be curious to see who is appointed and how long they stay alive



Burial of Khamenei....and the rest of them now.
The Fall Guy
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Iran says it has not used all of its advanced weapons yet.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/iran-says-it-has-not-yet-used-all-our-advanced-weapons-report/
tio
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AG
The burial of Khamenei seems like it will be a target rich environment for the IDF
TAMUallen
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Twisted Helix
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TAMUallen said:

It's a pretty moot point but it will be curious to see who is appointed and how long they stay alive



Seems like that would be a target rich environment.
halfastros81
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I have a feeling the burial of Khameini is not going to be a very safe space to be in.
The Fall Guy
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TAMUallen said:




Damn that was an explosive hit.
AgResearch
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halfastros81 said:

I have a feeling the burial of Khameini is not going to be a very safe space to be in.


Especially for the innocent people they'll force to be there as human shields.
one MEEN Ag
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Literally anyone stupid enough to go to that funeral deserves whatever gets dropped on them.
Ag In Ok
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AG
The Fall Guy said:

Iran says it has not used all of its advanced weapons yet.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/iran-says-it-has-not-yet-used-all-our-advanced-weapons-report/


Taking what Rubio said was Irans opening position at the start of negotiations, i would assume this is a threat to use a dirty bomb. Based on their targets to date, why not throw a dirty bomb at Tel Aviv or southern Isreal? Or Athens for that matter.
Rapier108
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Ag In Ok said:

The Fall Guy said:

Iran says it has not used all of its advanced weapons yet.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/iran-says-it-has-not-yet-used-all-our-advanced-weapons-report/


Taking what Rubio said was Irans opening position at the start of negotiations, i would assume this is a threat to use a dirty bomb. Based on their targets to date, why not throw a dirty bomb at Tel Aviv or southern Isreal? Or Athens for that matter.

Could also mean chemical weapons. Cheap to make and very effective.

Of course, using either would justify the use of nuclear weapons in retaliation, by either the US or Israel.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
bonfarr
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Article is like 6 hours old so whomever made that statement from the Iranian Defense Ministry is probably dead. When taking quotes from Iranian leadership they should go ahead and request quotes from their subordinates to save time.
Gaeilge
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tio said:

The burial of Khamenei seems like it will be a target rich environment for the IDF

Napalm the funeral. I want that POS cremated. Imagine being a cleric and knowing that if you take a head spot within the regime, your soul will forever be haram because we turned your ass into dust.

That is a solid PSYOP opportunity.
bonfarr
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Agador Spartacus
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bonfarr said:

Symbolic for now but the movement is growing…




I don't know who this Reza Pahlavi guy is, but if you want to keep him alive, better start working on it.

Reza Pahlavi - Wikipedia
JFABNRGR
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AG
aggiehawg said:

Quote:

The Assembly of experts are a elected position by the people of Iran. So should anything happen to a member of the Assembly of experts, there has to be an election. But in order to run you have to be vetted through the guardian council who are appointed by the supreme leader so if anything happens to them as well then you literally cannot appropriately. Have a peaceful transition of power within the confines of the Islamic Republic of Iran's Constitution.

Nice Catch-22 there and Israel knew it.


They need to track down the council members who called in sick, they are the smart ones who could be dangerous or possibly an asset in the actionable events to a better Iranian future.
“You can resolve to live your life with integrity. Let your credo be this: Let the lie come into the world, let it even triumph. But not through me.”
- Alexander Solzhenitsyn
 
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