I still think Ibaka plays in this series. OKC will definitely be hurt if Ibaka really is out, yet on paper they are at least capable of doing what the Mavs did to the Spurs.
Dirk is way worse than Durant at this point, Ellis played great but Westbrook is a better offensive player, Calderon and Harris were on fire but Jackson has shown he can provide the same production for OKC, Carter and Marion had their moments as role players but Sefolosha, Butler and Fisher are all capable scorers as well. The crazy thing about the Dallas series is all these guys were hitting at the same time and did it for six games. That is very rare against the Spurs defense, so can OKC match that consistency and shoot contested shots lights out for an entire series?
I think the real question though is can OKC do what Dallas did to the Spurs on the defensive end with Ibaka out? The spurs were struggling with the way Dallas was switching. Dalembert and an inspired Blair played well above their abilities on the defensive end. Can Perkins, Collison and Adams provide that same production against the pick and roll? Will OKC really play two out of Perkins, Adams and Collison for long stretches at a time?
In the end, I just don't think you can beat the Spurs if you can't keep them out of the lane and if you rely on jumpshots . Duncan and Splitter will not be pulled away from the basket by the remaining OKC post players and I don't see anyone other than Ibaka keeping Parker and Manu from scoring at will in the pick and roll game.
I can't wait for tonights game!