Hubert J. Farnsworth said:

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txags92 said:

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The biggest threat to Paxton isn't the dems and Talarico, it is the rino wing of the GOP-E that are going to play the "he lost a winnable seat because he was a terrible candidate" game. That is the game where somebody other than the rino's preferred GOP-E candidate wins the primary. In response, the national level funding from places like the Republican Senate Campaign Committee gets cut off, the primary candidate who lost goes full bitthurt and starts helping the other team, and all the rino GOP-E types stay home and don't vote because they are too butthurt that their candidate lost the primary. And when that lack of financial support and their unwillingness to turn out to vote causes the D to win, they all sit around afterward telling us it was because "he or she was a terrible candidate" instead of owning up to the fact that they (rinos and GOP-E types) are responsible for the loss.

We have seen it over and over when Rs lose winnable seats and I fully expect them to run that playbook against Paxton.

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Bingo. The moderates that always tell the conservatives that we have to vote for the RINO(or the democrats will win) and to just hold our noses and do it are a bunch of hypocrites.

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Former Senator Jeff Flake (R-AZ) endorses Democrat James Talarico for US Senate in Texas

Source: Crooked Media

Link to article: https://t.co/CXebSqZTEK pic.twitter.com/SXClvrghN4

— Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 (@PollTracker2024) June 27, 2026

YouBet said:

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MAROON said:

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In coastal Maine for a vacation. Was talking to a local and he was like "man I really like that Talarico guy. He has common sense. Any chance he can win?" I just laughed.

Coastal Maine is full of gray haired cat women, low T men, and lesbians. Most liberal place I've ever been.

And the number of signs for Planter makes me think Susan Collins doesn't have a chance. This is a weird place - beautiful, but weird.

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lol. Another term that the left has changed. In what world does Talarico have common sense? Good lord.

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txags92 said:

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The biggest threat to Paxton isn't the dems and Talarico, it is the rino wing of the GOP-E that are going to play the "he lost a winnable seat because he was a terrible candidate" game. That is the game where somebody other than the rino's preferred GOP-E candidate wins the primary. In response, the national level funding from places like the Republican Senate Campaign Committee gets cut off, the primary candidate who lost goes full bitthurt and starts helping the other team, and all the rino GOP-E types stay home and don't vote because they are too butthurt that their candidate lost the primary. And when that lack of financial support and their unwillingness to turn out to vote causes the D to win, they all sit around afterward telling us it was because "he or she was a terrible candidate" instead of owning up to the fact that they (rinos and GOP-E types) are responsible for the loss.

We have seen it over and over when Rs lose winnable seats and I fully expect them to run that playbook against Paxton.

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Burpelson said:

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It feels like RNC is half hearted on Paxton.

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aezmvp said:

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Burpelson said:

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It feels like RNC is half hearted on Paxton.

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Of course they are. They just wasted $150mm on Cornyn. It was blindingly obvious Cornyn was going to lose and they spent it anyway. So they have zero interest in supporting Paxton and Paxton can expect very little support.

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Urban Ag said:

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aezmvp said:

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Burpelson said:

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It feels like RNC is half hearted on Paxton.

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Of course they are. They just wasted $150mm on Cornyn. It was blindingly obvious Cornyn was going to lose and they spent it anyway. So they have zero interest in supporting Paxton and Paxton can expect very little support.

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If that is really true it will be one of the biggest tactical errors, I have seen in American politics in my life.

Texas losing a senate seat would officially mark the beginning of Texas turning purple. The GOP could hold the Senate and the House and the dems would still believe they won the superbowl. It would be the biggest politcal story of the year outside of the midterm results themselves. And if we lost to a simp weirdo like Talarico, all the worse.

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aezmvp said:

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They just wasted $150mm on Cornyn.

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Urban Ag said:

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I don't know.

One of the greatest outcomes of how Trump performed in 2024 in Texas was in winning the RGV counties. I think he got every county on the border except one. My hope is that the dems have gone so far left that they have pushed the Mexican-American community in Texas to vote GOP because open borders wasn't working to well for them, nor does the anti-business climate, nor the radical social positions.

Think positive dude. We just need to keep wiping the Texas GOP good ole boy system out.

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Quote:

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TAMUAllen, for whom do you plan to vote for Senate in November?
A. Talarico (D)
B. Paxton (R)
C. Other/Unsure
-TS
Stop to end

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AggieVictor10 said:

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Where did he get all that money for spam/ads, the majority of which seem to be fundraising talking about how broke they are?

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Opinion | It was fun to pretend, but let’s face the facts: James Talarico is going to lose the race for Senate, writes Kenny Webster. https://t.co/iO7vfRvcZk

— Houston Chronicle (@HoustonChron) June 30, 2026

agent-maroon said:

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Saw a couple of these yard signs driving through the Lakewood area in Dallas. Maybe it's just me, but this is the most uninspired, just mailing it in political yard sign that I can recall. Feels like they're not even trying. Reminds me of the initial generic product labeling from the 70's

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Quote:

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There were several signs of weakness for Mr. Paxton in the poll.

A majority of likely Texas voters see Mr. Talarico as having good character and the right moral values, but not Mr. Paxton. Mr. Paxton, a MAGA firebrand who spearheaded the legal efforts to reject the 2020 presidential election results and celebrated the overturning of Roe v. Wade in 2022 by declaring the date an annual holiday for his office, was also more likely to be viewed as "too extreme" than Mr. Talarico.

Mr. Paxton has failed to attract some voters who otherwise said they would like to see a Republican-controlled Senate. On the question of which party they preferred to be in power in the Senate, 50 percent of likely voters in Texas favored Republicans, while 44 percent favored Democrats.

Mr. Talarico is winning 61 percent of Hispanic voters less than two years after Mr. Trump carried that community in Texas in the 2024 election.

A massive gender gap is shaping the contest, with women backing Mr. Talarico by 18 percentage points and men backing Mr. Paxton by a roughly the same margin a chasm even bigger than in the 2024 presidential race.

And Mr. Paxton begins the general election with voters viewing him far more dimly than Mr. Talarico.
Only 38 percent of likely Texas voters said Mr. Paxton had "good character," compared to 56 percent who said the same of Mr. Talarico.

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OldArmy71 said:

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That editorial is not the voice of the Chronicle, it's a "guest editorial" from some radio guy.

NYT has a big article today (paywall) that says its own poll shows a 47-47 tie.

A Tied Senate Race Gives Democrats a Shot in Deep Red Texas, Poll Finds James Talarico, a Democratic state lawmaker, is tied with Ken Paxton, the Republican state attorney general, according to a New York Times/Siena poll.

Quote:

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There were several signs of weakness for Mr. Paxton in the poll.

A majority of likely Texas voters see Mr. Talarico as having good character and the right moral values, but not Mr. Paxton. Mr. Paxton, a MAGA firebrand who spearheaded the legal efforts to reject the 2020 presidential election results and celebrated the overturning of Roe v. Wade in 2022 by declaring the date an annual holiday for his office, was also more likely to be viewed as "too extreme" than Mr. Talarico.

Mr. Paxton has failed to attract some voters who otherwise said they would like to see a Republican-controlled Senate. On the question of which party they preferred to be in power in the Senate, 50 percent of likely voters in Texas favored Republicans, while 44 percent favored Democrats.

Mr. Talarico is winning 61 percent of Hispanic voters less than two years after Mr. Trump carried that community in Texas in the 2024 election.

A massive gender gap is shaping the contest, with women backing Mr. Talarico by 18 percentage points and men backing Mr. Paxton by a roughly the same margin a chasm even bigger than in the 2024 presidential race.

And Mr. Paxton begins the general election with voters viewing him far more dimly than Mr. Talarico.
Only 38 percent of likely Texas voters said Mr. Paxton had "good character," compared to 56 percent who said the same of Mr. Talarico.

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agent-maroon said:

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Saw a couple of these yard signs driving through the Lakewood area in Dallas. Maybe it's just me, but this is the most uninspired, just mailing it in political yard sign that I can recall. Feels like they're not even trying. Reminds me of the initial generic product labeling from the 70's

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