JWinTX said:

---

Paxton will win. It will probably be close, which will bring in tons of money and media saying Texas is purple, just as it did when Beto stayed close to Ted Cruz. Then they will waste tons of dollars believing this, as they lose again in the governorship, the Presidential election in 2028, the senate race in 2030, and the big elections in 2032.

---

The Collective said:

---

Consider this - this is one of the most important positions our state can send to the federal government. And these two are our options.

---

🚨 NOW: Republicans are running a BRUTAL new ad against James Talarico (D) to elect Paxton, PERFECTLY exposing Talarico as the weirdo leftist he is

- God is "non-binary"
- 6 sexes
- "Non-meat campaign"
- "Reckoning with whiteness" 🤡

ELECT KEN PAXTON! 🇺🇸pic.twitter.com/EEXcLnjq7N

— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) May 27, 2026

NEW AD: James Talarico is a threat to everything we hold dear.
 
This is Texas, and we will fight to protect it. pic.twitter.com/7bI9jti6Gz

— Attorney General Ken Paxton (@KenPaxtonTX) May 27, 2026

amercer said:

---

ts5641 said:

---

The more Texans get to know 6-Gender talarico the more they're going to reject him.

---

The race will depend a lot more on how big the democrat wave ends up being in the fall, than on anything about the candidates themselves.

Republicans certainly gave the democrats an opening here by nominating a candidate with a crap ton of negatives. Talarico only wins if there is a huge shift to the Dems that lifts all the candidates. It does appear that Trump is doing everything in his power to make that happen, but a blue Texas still seems unlikely here.

---

James Talarico posted a guide teaching illegal aliens how to evade ICE agents.

- Don't open the door.
- Don't sign anything.
- Take photos of officers.
- Fight back.

He even called illegal aliens his "constituents."

Now he wants to be a United States Senator.

He cares more… pic.twitter.com/bRifqXXmFg

— Benny Johnson (@bennyjohnson) May 27, 2026

Dan Carlin said:

---

Yeah, how dare you suggest that someone indicted for fraud and impeached for corruption has any baggage.

---

OldArmy71 said:

---

Just FYI, the NYT is giddy at the prospect of Talarico running against Paxton, first because of Paxton's flaws, but second, because the NYT believes that Trump's previous good showing with Hispanic voters has disappeared:

Quote:

---

Could Texas really turn blue in 2026?

While it's tempting to be skeptical, a blue Texas is increasingly easy to imagine. It's even easier to imagine after Ken Paxton's victory over John Cornyn, the incumbent senator, in the Republican primary runoff on Tuesday night.

That's partly because Mr. Paxton, the state attorney general, has distinct political liabilities. He's faced investigation, indictment, impeachment and a messy public divorce.

But there's another reason Democrats might pull off a statewide win for the first time in three decades: demographics. Texas is one of the most diverse states in the country, and national polls show Democrats surging back in support among young and nonwhite voters and especially Hispanic voters.

On paper, these national demographic trends ought to send Texas racing toward the left and into contention. Add in Mr. Paxton's nomination and you can start to see how Democrats could flip Texas this fall.

.... beneath the state's stable Republican voting record, extraordinary demographic shifts have put Texas Republicans in a much more vulnerable position. To an extent few would have imagined a decade ago, Texas' status as a reliably Republican state now depends on elevated levels of support among Hispanic voters.

In the latest national polls, Mr. Trump's gains among Hispanic voters have vanished and the Republican grip on Texas is in danger as a result. The latest New York Times/Siena poll is representative: It shows Democrats ahead by 30 points, 54 percent to 24 percent, among Hispanic registered voters nationwide. That's better than Joe Biden's margin in 2020 and getting close to Hillary Clinton's margin in 2016.

Alone, major Democratic gains among Hispanic voters would be enough to make Texas a plausible battleground in November.

Now consider the party's expected gains among other demographic groups including white voters in this national political environment, and suddenly the conditions would seem to be in place for a Democratic breakthrough.


While Texas Republicans have occasionally had a few close calls, this year's contest is already different, at least by the measure of the polls. Back in 2018, Beto O'Rourke never led a poll collected by RealClearPolitics against Ted Cruz.

This time, Mr. Paxton hasn't led a general election poll against Mr. Talarico since January.

---

I think this election is going to be very, very close.

---

TEXAS SENATE RACE: Ken Paxton won 252 counties out of 254 with Cornyn only winning Travis County (Austin) and tiny Kenedy County (winning just 6 out of 8 votes). Cornyn and the Senate Republicans spent more money on this campaign than any other Senate campaign in history and lost… pic.twitter.com/kxnsINeVeI

— @amuse (@amuse) May 27, 2026

TAMU1990 said:

---

OldArmy71 said:

---

Just FYI, the NYT is giddy at the prospect of Talarico running against Paxton, first because of Paxton's flaws, but second, because the NYT believes that Trump's previous good showing with Hispanic voters has disappeared:

Quote:

---

Could Texas really turn blue in 2026?

While it's tempting to be skeptical, a blue Texas is increasingly easy to imagine. It's even easier to imagine after Ken Paxton's victory over John Cornyn, the incumbent senator, in the Republican primary runoff on Tuesday night.

That's partly because Mr. Paxton, the state attorney general, has distinct political liabilities. He's faced investigation, indictment, impeachment and a messy public divorce.

But there's another reason Democrats might pull off a statewide win for the first time in three decades: demographics. Texas is one of the most diverse states in the country, and national polls show Democrats surging back in support among young and nonwhite voters and especially Hispanic voters.

On paper, these national demographic trends ought to send Texas racing toward the left and into contention. Add in Mr. Paxton's nomination and you can start to see how Democrats could flip Texas this fall.

.... beneath the state's stable Republican voting record, extraordinary demographic shifts have put Texas Republicans in a much more vulnerable position. To an extent few would have imagined a decade ago, Texas' status as a reliably Republican state now depends on elevated levels of support among Hispanic voters.

In the latest national polls, Mr. Trump's gains among Hispanic voters have vanished and the Republican grip on Texas is in danger as a result. The latest New York Times/Siena poll is representative: It shows Democrats ahead by 30 points, 54 percent to 24 percent, among Hispanic registered voters nationwide. That's better than Joe Biden's margin in 2020 and getting close to Hillary Clinton's margin in 2016.

Alone, major Democratic gains among Hispanic voters would be enough to make Texas a plausible battleground in November.

Now consider the party's expected gains among other demographic groups including white voters in this national political environment, and suddenly the conditions would seem to be in place for a Democratic breakthrough.


While Texas Republicans have occasionally had a few close calls, this year's contest is already different, at least by the measure of the polls. Back in 2018, Beto O'Rourke never led a poll collected by RealClearPolitics against Ted Cruz.

This time, Mr. Paxton hasn't led a general election poll against Mr. Talarico since January.

---

I think this election is going to be very, very close.

---

TEXAS SENATE RACE: Ken Paxton won 252 counties out of 254 with Cornyn only winning Travis County (Austin) and tiny Kenedy County (winning just 6 out of 8 votes). Cornyn and the Senate Republicans spent more money on this campaign than any other Senate campaign in history and lost… pic.twitter.com/kxnsINeVeI

— @amuse (@amuse) May 27, 2026

A lot of Hispanics throughout the state contributed to this result.

---