AccidentProne said:
Farmer1906 said:
I posted this in 17 and I'll update it slightly, but this is pretty spot-on, still.
Quote:
You just finished 6 games under .500 and 23 games out of first. You traded away your ace midseason who is now a FA. You have no major plans to spend decent new money this year with a payroll approaching 110 M. Your young core is not all that good. Your best player will be 39 and either busted for roids and start to decline like all aging players do. You have one of the worst rotations in baseball. You have no bullpen. Your farm system is bottom 10 in the league even though you were sellers at the deadline. This is all done by the architect that is Jon Daniels. Things will not be significantly better next year or the one after that or the several after that. You're stuck in 83 wins or fewer zone unless you spend like NY & LA or rebuild.
You just finished 6 games under .500 and 29 games out of first. You decided not to trade away any of the veteran assets even though you didn't stand a chance in the division. You have no major plans to spend decent new money this year with a payroll approaching 130 M. Your young core is not all that good. Your best player could only stay on the field for 70 games and either hits a home run or strikes out. Your rotation is one of the worst in baseball after Minor and Lynn (they only have 1 year left each). You have no bullpen. Your farm system is middle of the pack even though you you've been sellers in 17 and 18 (but not 19 for some reason). This is all done by the architect that is Jon Daniels. Things will not be significantly better next year or the one after that or the several after that. You're stuck in 83 wins or fewer zone unless you spend more than NY & LA or rebuild.
Do you work in the Rangers front office and have knowledge of what the payroll will be in 2020? Because I do, and I know it will be north of $175M.
I actually like the young kids behind Minor and Lynn. And I think we are going to grab a premium TOTR pitcher in the offseason. We have decent bullpen arms, too.
The Rangers will make the playoffs in the next two years.
Nobody spends more than NY & LA
The "kids" weren't very good this year. The rotation outside of the Big 2 (ERA FIP xFIP)
Ariel Jurado 5.81 5.10 5.00
Adrian Sampson 5.89 5.69 5.33
Jesse Chavez 4.85 4.41 4.47
Drew Smyly 8.42 8.05 6.37
Jose Leclerc 4.33 3.59 4.21
Brett Martin 4.76 3.65 3.66
Was it you or someone else that wanted to make some 4 or 5 year bet about the playoffs?
Here are the FAs. You have 45-65 M to blow. Who's going to make the difference?
Short of Cole, Rendon, JD, & Chapman, I don't see it happening.
Quote:
Catchers
Yasmani Grandal (31 years old, 3.9 WAR) -- $16 million mutual option for 2020 ($2.25 million buyout)
Jason Castro (33, 1.6)
Tyler Flowers (34, 1.6) -- $6 million club option for 2020 ($2 million buyout)
Robinson Chirinos (36, 1.5)
Travis d'Arnaud (31, 1.1)
Brian McCann (36, 1.0)
Alex Avila (33, 1.0)
Russell Martin (37, 0.8)
Austin Romine (31, 0.5)
Martin Maldonado (33, 0.1)
Yan Gomes (32, 0.0) -- $9 million club option for 2020 ($1 million buyout)
Jonathan Lucroy (34, -0.2)
Francisco Cervelli (34, -0.2)
Matt Wieters (34, -0.3)
Nick Hundley (36, -0.3)
Chris Iannetta (37, -0.6)
Welington Castillo (33, -0.9) -- $8 million club option for 2020 ($500,000 buyout)
First Basemen
Anthony Rizzo (30 years old, 3.1 WAR) -- $14.5 million club option for 2020 ($2 million buyout)
Eric Thames (33, 1.3) -- $7.5 million club option for 2020 ($1 million buyout)
David Freese (37, 1.2)
Jose Abreu (33, 0.7)
Justin Smoak (33, 0.6)
Matt Adams (31, 0.5) -- $4 million mutual option for 2020 ($1 million buyout)
Logan Forsythe (33, 0.5)
Mitch Moreland (34, 0.3)
Neil Walker (34, 0.3)
Ryan Zimmerman (35, -0.1) -- $18 million club option for 2020 ($2 million buyout)
Yonder Alonso (33, -0.8)
Mark Reynolds (36, -0.8)
Steve Pearce (37, -0.9)
Lucas Duda (34, -0.9)
Second Basemen
Howie Kendrick (36 years old, 1.7 WAR)
Brian Dozier (33, 1.4)
Brock Holt (32, 1.1)
Jason Kipnis (33, 1.0) -- $16.5 million club option for 2020 ($2.5 million buyout)
Jonathan Schoop (28, 0.8)
Wilmer Flores (28, 0.6) -- $6 million club option for 2020 ($500,000 buyout)
Brad Miller (30, 0.4)
Gordon Beckham (33, 0.2)
Ben Zobrist (39, 0.0)
Scooter Gennett (30, -0.2)
Starlin Castro (30, -0.2) -- $16 million club option for 2020 ($1 million buyout)
Yangervis Solarte (32, -0.3)
Josh Harrison (32, -0.6)
Chris Owings (28, -0.8)
Eduardo Nuez (33, -1.0)
Third Basemen
Anthony Rendon (30 years old, 5.0 WAR)
Josh Donaldson (34, 3.7)
Mike Moustakas (31, 2.7) -- $11 million mutual option for 2020 ($3 million buyout)
Asdrubal Cabrera (34, 1.0)
Todd Frazier (34, 0.9)
Pablo Sandoval (33, 0.9)
Jedd Gyorko (31, -0.2) -- $13 million club option for 2020 ($1 million buyout)
Martin Prado (36, -0.9)
Jung Ho Kang (33, -1.0)
Shortstops
Elvis Andrus (31 years old, 1.7 WAR) -- can opt out of 3 years, $43 million remaining on contract
Freddy Galvis (30, 1.6) -- $5.5 million club option for 2020 ($1 million buyout)
Jose Iglesias (30, 1.5)
Didi Gregorius (30, 0.6)
Adeiny Hechavarria (31, 0.1)
Jordy Mercer (33, -0.1)
Left fielders
Brett Gardner (36 years old, 2.9 WAR)
Marcell Ozuna (29, 2.0)
Hunter Pence (37, 1.8)
Corey Dickerson (31, 0.7)
Alex Gordon (36, 0.7) -- $23 million mutual option for 2020 ($4 million buyout)
Gerardo Parra (33, 0.1)
Peter Bourjos (33, -0.5)
Carlos Gonzalez (34, -0.6)
Matt Kemp (35, -0.8)
Curtis Granderson (39, -1.1)
Center fielders
Starling Marte (31 years old, 2.6 WAR) -- $11.5 million club option for 2020 ($2 million buyout)
Jarrod Dyson (35, 1.5)
Billy Hamilton (29, 0.3) -- $7.5 million mutual option for 2020 ($1 million buyout)
Carlos Gomez (34, -0.1)
Juan Lagares (31, -0.9) -- $9.5 million club option for 2020 ($500,000 buyout)
Leonys Martin (32, -0.6)
Austin Jackson (33, N/A) -- hasn't appeared in MLB in 2019
Right fielders
Adam Eaton (31 years old, 2.2 WAR) -- $9.5 million club option for 2020 ($1.5 million buyout)
Kole Calhoun (32, 1.9) -- $14 million club option for 2020 ($1 million buyout)
Nicholas Castellanos (28, 1.6)
Avisail Garcia (29, 1.6)
Jason Heyward (30, 1.6) -- can opt out of 4 years, $86 million remaining on contract if he has 550 plate appearances in 2019
Cameron Maybin (33, 1.4)
Yasiel Puig (29, 1.3)
Nick Markakis (36, 0.1) -- $6 million club option for 2020 ($2 million buyout)
Adam Jones (34, 0.3)
Melky Cabrera (35, -0.7)
Jon Jay (35, -0.8)
Lonnie Chisenhall (31, N/A) -- hasn't appeared in MLB in 2019
Designated hitters
Nelson Cruz (39 years old, 3.2 WAR) -- $12 million club option for 2020 ($300,000 buyout)
J.D. Martinez (32, 2.6) -- can opt out of 3 years, $62.5 million remaining on contract
Edwin Encarnacion (37, 2.2) -- $20 million club option for 2020 ($5 million buyout)
Kendrys Morales (37, -0.8)
Hanley Ramirez (36, -0.2)
Mark Trumbo (34, N/A) -- hasn't appeared in MLB in 2019
Starting pitchers
Gerrit Cole (29 years old, 4.5 WAR)
Hyun-Jin Ryu (33, 4.1)
Stephen Strasburg (31, 4.0) -- can opt out of 4 years, $100 million remaining on contract
Zack Wheeler (30, 3.6)
Jose Quintana (31, 3.1) -- $11.5 million club option for 2020 ($1 million buyout)
Madison Bumgarner (30, 3.0)
Jake Odorizzi (30, 2.8)
Kyle Gibson (32, 2.6)
Cole Hamels (36, 2.4)
Tanner Roark (33, 2.2)
Michael Pineda (30, 2.1)
Adam Wainwright (38, 1.9)
Wade Miley (33, 1.8)
Homer Bailey (34, 1.7)
Brett Anderson (32, 1.6)
Andrew Cashner (33, 1.6) -- $10 million option for 2020 vests with 340 IP combined over 2018-19; becomes player option with 360 IP over '18-19
Martin Perez (29, 1.6) -- $7.5 million club option for 2020 ($500,000 buyout)
Yu Darvish (33, 1.5) -- can opt out of 4 years, $81 million remaining on contract
Ivan Nova (33, 1.4)
Julio Teheran (29, 1.4) -- $12 million club option for 2020 ($1 million buyout)
Jason Vargas (37, 1.4) -- $8 million club option for 2020 ($2 million buyout)
Rick Porcello (31, 1.3)
Jake Arrieta (34, 1.0) -- can opt out of 1 year, $20 million remaining on contract unless Phillies exercise 2-year, $40 million option
Gio Gonzalez (34, 0.8)
Rich Hill (40, 0.8)
Chris Archer (31, 0.7) -- $9 million club option for 2020 ($1.75 million buyout)
Corey Kluber (34, 0.6) -- $17.5 million club option for 2020 ($1 million buyout)
Matt Moore (31, 0.5)
Dallas Keuchel (32, 0.3)
Felix Hernandez (34, 0.2)
Jhoulys Chacin (32, 0.1)
Clay Buchholz (35, 0.0)
Tyson Ross (33, 0.0)
Alex Wood (29, -0.1)
Jeremy Hellickson (33, -0.1)
Drew Pomeranz (31, -0.1)
Edinson Volquez (36, -0.1)
Marco Estrada (36, -0.2)
Wade LeBlanc (35, -0.2) -- $5 million club option for 2020 ($450,000 buyout)
Shelby Miller (29, -0.2)
Clayton Richard (36, -0.2)
Matt Harvey (31, -0.3)
Ervin Santana (37, -0.4)
Michael Wacha (28, -0.4)
Drew Smyly (29, -0.6)
Trevor Cahill (32, -0.8)
Edwin Jackson (36, -0.8)
Derek Holland (33, -0.9)
Relief pitchers
Aroldis Chapman (32 years old, 1.9 WAR) -- can opt out of 2 years, $30 million remaining on contract
Will Smith (30, 1.2)
Kenley Jansen (32, 1.0) -- can opt out of 2 years, $38 million remaining on contract
Yusmeiro Petit (35, 0.9) -- $5.5 million club option for 2020 ($1 million buyout)
Jake Diekman (33, 0.8) -- $5.75 mutual option for 2020 ($500,000 buyout)
Will Harris (35, 0.7)
Brandon Kintzler (35, 0.7)
Sean Doolittle (33, 0.6) -- $6.5 million club option for 2020 ($500,000 buyout)
Yoshihisa Hirano (36, 0.6)
Matt Albers (37, 0.6)
Chris Martin (34, 0.6)
Collin McHugh (33, 0.5)
Oliver Perez (38, 0.5) -- $2.75 million club option becomes guaranteed with 55 appearances in 2019; increases to $3 million with 60 appearances in '19
Juan Nicasio (33, 0.4)
David Hernandez (35, 0.4)
Jeremy Jeffress (32, 0.4) -- $4.3 million club option for 2020
Brad Brach (34, 0.4)
Sergio Romo (37, 0.4)
David Phelps (33, 0.3) -- $1 million club option for 2020; club option becomes $3 million with 30 games pitched, $5 million with 40 games pitched, $7 million with 50 games pitched in '19.
Tony Sipp (36, 0.3)
Hector Rondon (32, 0.2)
Tommy Hunter (33, 0.2)
Cory Gearrin (34, 0.2)
Steve Cishek (34, 0.1)
Joe Smith (36, 0.1)
Fernando Rodney (43, 0.1)
Luke Gregerson (36, 0.1)
Shawn Kelley (36, 0.1) -- $2.5 million club option for 2020 ($250,000 buyout)
Aaron Loup (32, 0.1) $2 million club option for 2020
Hector Santiago (32, 0.1)
Mike Dunn (35, 0.0)
Pedro Strop (35, -0.1)
Craig Stammen (36, -0.1)
Greg Holland (34, -0.1)
Jared Hughes (34, -0.1) -- $3 million club option for 2020 ($250,000 buyout)
Nate Jones (34, -0.1) -- $5.15 million club option for 2020 ($1.25 million buyout)
Tony Barnette (36, -0.1) -- $3 million club option for 2020
Tyler Thornburg (31, -0.1)
Arodys Vizcaino (29, -0.1)
Dan Otero (35, -0.2) -- $1.5 million club option for 2020 ($100,000 buyout)
Pat Neshek (39, -0.3) -- $7 million club option for 2020 ($750,000 buyout)
Seunghwan Oh (37, -0.3)
Trevor Rosenthal (30, -0.3)
Wily Peralta (31, -0.4)
Zach Duke (37, -0.4)
Jonny Venters (35, -0.4)
Tony Watson (35, -0.5) -- $2.5 million player option for 2020 ($500,000 buyout)
Anthony Swarzak (34, -0.6)
Cody Allen (31, -0.7)
Adam Warren (32, -0.8) -- $2.5 million club option for 2020 ($500,000 buyout)
Brandon Morrow (35, N/A) -- $12 million club/vesting option for 2020 ($3 million buyout); hasn't appeared in MLB in 2019
Dellin Betances (32, N/A) -- hasn't appeared in MLB in 2019
Josh Fields (34, N/A) -- hasn't appeared in MLB in 2019
Bud Norris (35, N/A) -- hasn't appeared in MLB in 2019
Darren O'Day (37, N/A) -- hasn't appeared in MLB in 2019
Addison Reed (31, N/A) -- hasn't appeared in MLB in 2019
Tony Cingrani (30, N/A) -- hasn't appeared in MLB in 2019
Brian Duensing (37, N/A) -- hasn't appeared in MLB in 2019